Blackburn
vs
Cardiff
2 – 1 Full time
| 28′ | Andri Guðjohnsen | ||
| 38′ | Todd Cantwell | ||
| 53′ | Callum Robinson | ||
| 60′ | C. AshfordChristopher Willock | ||
| 63′ | Andri GuðjohnsenMoussa·Baradji | ||
| 64′ | Ryoya MorishitaJ. Fevrier | ||
| 71′ | Joel ColwillDavid Turnbull | ||
| 71′ | Callum RobinsonIsaak Davies | ||
| 74′ | Oladapo AfolayanAugustus Kargbo | ||
| 78′ | Joel BaganRonan Kpakio | ||
| 78′ | Dylan LawlorCalum Scanlon | ||
| 83′ | Kristi MontgomeryJake Garrett | ||
| 90′ | Todd Cantwell |
Match stats
| 17 | Shots | 10 |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 42 | Possession % | 58 |
| 11 | Corners | 6 |
| 9 | Fouls | 6 |
| 4 | Offsides | 1 |
| 0 | Saves | 5 |
| 240 | Accurate passes | 385 |
Blackburn vs Cardiff overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Blackburn vs Cardiff
| Probability | Blackburn | Draw | Cardiff |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.1% | 24.9% | 34.0% |
| Market | 32.4% | 26.1% | 41.5% |
| Final | 34.6% | 25.8% | 39.6% |
| Edge | +2.2% | -0.3% | -1.9% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Blackburn and Cardiff expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.31
Blackburn and Cardiff attack and defence ratings
Blackburn
Cardiff
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Blackburn vs Cardiff: result vs prediction
Blackburn 2 – 1 Cardiff
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Blackburn vs Cardiff markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cardiff | 39.6% | 2.52 | -1.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.2% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.2% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 66.0% | 1.52 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Blackburn | 34.6% |
| Draw | 25.8% | |
| Cardiff | 39.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 35.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.2% |
| No | 33.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 60.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 65.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Cardiff win | 17.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.1% | |
| Loss | 66.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.0% |
| 2-1 | 8.7% | |
| 1-2 | 7.8% |
Blackburn vs Cardiff stats
Blackburn and Cardiff recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Blackburn and Cardiff going into this match
Blackburn record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
Cardiff record
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Blackburn vs Cardiff head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-15 | Blackburn | Cardiff | Championship | 1-2 |
| 2024-11-09 | Cardiff | Blackburn | Championship | 1-3 |
| 2024-02-20 | Cardiff | Blackburn | Championship | 0-0 |
| 2023-10-21 | Blackburn | Cardiff | Championship | 1-0 |
| 2023-09-27 | Blackburn | Cardiff | League Cup | 5-2 |
| 2023-01-01 | Blackburn | Cardiff | Championship | 1-0 |
| 2022-10-04 | Cardiff | Blackburn | Championship | 1-0 |
| 2022-01-15 | Cardiff | Blackburn | Championship | 0-1 |
| 2021-09-25 | Blackburn | Cardiff | Championship | 5-1 |
| 2021-04-10 | Cardiff | Blackburn | Championship | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Blackburn vs Cardiff odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 32.4%, draw 26.1%, away 41.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.87 | 3.54 | 2.28 |
| Bet365 | 2.90 | 3.60 | 2.25 |
| BetVictor | 2.90 | 3.70 | 2.25 |
| Betano | 3.00 | 3.60 | 2.27 |
| Betfair | 2.90 | 3.60 | 2.25 |
| Dafabet | 2.90 | 3.75 | 2.35 |
| Marathonbet | 2.86 | 3.54 | 2.26 |
| Pinnacle | 3.06 | 3.73 | 2.28 |
| SBO | 2.74 | 3.28 | 2.28 |
| William Hill | 2.80 | 3.40 | 2.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
41 snapshots recorded, from .