Cardiff
vs
Charlton
3 – 1 Full time
| 8′ | Jack Moylan | ||
| 24′ | Yousef Salech | ||
| 27′ | Alexander Sean Pablo Robertson | ||
| 29′ | Tyreece Campbell | ||
| 33′ | Ollie·Tanner | ||
| 35′ | Dan McNamara | ||
| 45′ | Joel Bagan | ||
| 45′ | Millenic AlliAmari Bell | ||
| 45′ | Tyler BindonTimothy Ouma | ||
| 51′ | Oliver Skipp | ||
| 61′ | Jack Moylan | ||
| 62′ | Christopher WillockDavid Turnbull | ||
| 70′ | Ollie·TannerC. Ashford | ||
| 70′ | Conor CoventryCharlie Kelman | ||
| 82′ | Jack MoylanCalum Scanlon | ||
| 82′ | Gabriel OshoDylan Lawlor | ||
| 83′ | Miles Leaburnsonny carey | ||
| 83′ | Dan McNamaraJosh Edwards | ||
| 90′ | Ivan Mesik | ||
| 90′ | C. Ashford | ||
| 90′ | Joel Colwill | ||
| 90′ | Brian Barry-Murphy |
Match stats
| 27 | Shots | 6 |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 62 | Possession % | 38 |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 10 | Fouls | 15 |
| 0 | Offsides | 4 |
| 2 | Saves | 5 |
| 412 | Accurate passes | 211 |
Cardiff vs Charlton overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cardiff vs Charlton
| Probability | Cardiff | Draw | Charlton |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.2% | 26.7% | 24.1% |
| Market | 54.6% | 23.6% | 21.8% |
| Final | 53.2% | 24.4% | 22.4% |
| Edge | -5.4% | +3.1% | +2.3% |
Why Cardiff
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.66 vs 1.10.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Cardiff and Charlton expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.76
Cardiff and Charlton attack and defence ratings
Cardiff
Charlton
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Cardiff vs Charlton: result vs prediction
Cardiff 3 – 1 Charlton
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Cardiff vs Charlton markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cardiff | 53.2% | 1.88 | -5.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.2% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.6% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cardiff | 53.2% |
| Draw | 24.4% | |
| Charlton | 22.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.2% |
| No | 44.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 46.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Cardiff win | 26.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.3% | |
| Loss | 50.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.7% |
| 2-1 | 9.6% | |
| 1-0 | 9.4% |
Cardiff vs Charlton stats
Cardiff and Charlton recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Cardiff and Charlton going into this match
Cardiff record
- They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Charlton record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Cardiff vs Charlton head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-06-30 | Cardiff | Charlton | Championship | 0-0 |
| 2019-11-23 | Charlton | Cardiff | Championship | 2-2 |
| 2016-02-13 | Charlton | Cardiff | Championship | 0-0 |
| 2015-09-26 | Cardiff | Charlton | Championship | 2-1 |
| 2015-03-07 | Cardiff | Charlton | Championship | 1-2 |
| 2014-12-26 | Charlton | Cardiff | Championship | 1-1 |
| 2013-04-16 | Cardiff | Charlton | Championship | 0-0 |
| 2012-11-06 | Charlton | Cardiff | Championship | 5-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Cardiff vs Charlton odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 54.6%, draw 23.6%, away 21.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.73 | 4.05 | 4.08 |
| Bet365 | 1.73 | 3.90 | 4.33 |
| BetVictor | 1.73 | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| Betano | 1.80 | 4.00 | 4.55 |
| Betfair | 1.75 | 3.90 | 4.33 |
| Marathonbet | 1.71 | 4.05 | 4.10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.75 | 4.19 | 4.42 |
| SBO | 1.76 | 3.39 | 3.52 |
| William Hill | 1.73 | 3.80 | 4.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .