England Championship
·
Full time
·Matchday 8
Stoke City
vs
Sheffield Utd
2 – 1 Full time
| 10′ | Kalvin Phillips | ||
| 32′ | Justin Devenny | ||
| 43′ | Maksym Taloverov | ||
| 51′ | Kalvin Phillips | ||
| 54′ | Oliver Arblaster | ||
| 63′ | Ethan Galbraith | ||
| 63′ | Eric Junior Bocat | ||
| 63′ | Liam Kitching | ||
| 64′ | Lamine CisséGeorge Hirst | ||
| 64′ | El Hadji SoumareSam Gallagher | ||
| 65′ | Maksym TaloverovJunior Tchamadeu | ||
| 67′ | Oliver ArblasterThomas Cannon | ||
| 69′ | Rhys Norrington-Davies | ||
| 78′ | Jack Mcglynn | ||
| 80′ | Hamza ChoudhuryJamie Shackleton | ||
| 80′ | Ben BreretonTahith Chong | ||
| 80′ | Patrick BamfordJordan Ayew | ||
| 80′ | Eric Junior BocatLuca Bombino | ||
| 80′ | Justin DevennyMillion·Manhoef | ||
| 86′ | Sam Gallagher | ||
| 88′ | Jamal BaptisteRomelle Donovan |
Stoke City
40%
Draw
28%
Sheffield Utd
32%
Match stats
| 12 | Shots | 8 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 62 | Possession % | 38 |
| 8 | Corners | 1 |
| 12 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Offsides | 0 |
| 2 | Saves | 3 |
| 384 | Accurate passes | 197 |
Stoke City vs Sheffield Utd overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Stoke City vs Sheffield Utd
| Probability | Stoke City | Draw | Sheffield Utd |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.6% | 27.8% | 32.6% |
| Market | 40.5% | 28.2% | 31.3% |
| Final | 40.3% | 28.1% | 31.6% |
| Edge | -0.9% | -0.4% | +1.3% |
Why Stoke City
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
92%
2+ goals
77%
3+ goals
52%
No goals
8%
Stoke City and Sheffield Utd expected goals
Stoke City
1.46
Sheffield Utd
1.30
Total expected goals: 2.76
Stoke City and Sheffield Utd attack and defence ratings
Stoke City
Attack
1.03 +3%
Defence
1.09 +9%
Sheffield Utd
Attack
0.99 -1%
Defence
0.99 -1%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Stoke City vs Sheffield Utd: result vs prediction
Stoke City 2 – 1 Sheffield Utd
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Stoke City vs Sheffield Utd markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stoke City | 40.3% | 2.48 | -0.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.4% | 1.66 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stoke City | 40.3% |
| Draw | 28.1% | |
| Sheffield Utd | 31.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.1% |
| No | 42.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Stoke City win | 19.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.0% | |
| Loss | 60.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.2% |
| 2-1 | 8.8% | |
| 1-0 | 8.0% |
Stoke City vs Sheffield Utd stats
Stoke City and Sheffield Utd recent form
| Stoke City |
WDWWLD |
| Sheffield Utd |
LLWLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Stoke City and Sheffield Utd going into this match
Stoke City record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sheffield Utd record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
Stoke City vs Sheffield Utd head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
2Stoke City wins
2Draws
6Sheffield Utd wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-29 | Stoke City | Sheffield Utd | England Championship | 1-2 |
| 2025-12-06 | Sheffield Utd | Stoke City | England Championship | 4-0 |
| 2025-04-25 | Stoke City | Sheffield Utd | Championship | 0-2 |
| 2024-10-26 | Sheffield Utd | Stoke City | Championship | 2-0 |
| 2023-01-14 | Sheffield Utd | Stoke City | Championship | 3-1 |
| 2022-10-08 | Stoke City | Sheffield Utd | Championship | 3-1 |
| 2022-04-02 | Stoke City | Sheffield Utd | Championship | 1-0 |
| 2021-10-16 | Sheffield Utd | Stoke City | Championship | 2-1 |
| 2019-05-05 | Stoke City | Sheffield Utd | Championship | 2-2 |
| 2018-10-23 | Sheffield Utd | Stoke City | Championship | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Stoke City vs Sheffield Utd odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 40.5%, draw 28.2%, away 31.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.34 | 3.25 | 2.98 |
| Bet365 | 2.30 | 3.40 | 2.90 |
| BetVictor | 2.30 | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| Betano | 2.35 | 3.50 | 2.95 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.30 | 3.00 |
| Marathonbet | 2.32 | 3.25 | 2.97 |
| Pinnacle | 2.42 | 3.30 | 3.16 |
| SBO | 2.24 | 2.99 | 2.70 |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 3.20 | 3.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.30 ▼ -0.40
X
3.30 ▼ -0.10
2
2.98 ▲ +0.58
14 snapshots recorded, from .