League Cup · Full time ·Round of 32

Fleetwood Town vs Sheffield Utd

1 – 0 Full time

23′Lewis McCann
53′Ched Evans
57′Rhys Norrington-Davies
58′Jaïro RiedewaldJordan Ayew
58′Tyrese CampbellBen Brereton
68′Joe RothwellSydie Peck
68′Matt DohertyJamie Shackleton
71′Ched EvansRonan Coughlan
71′Aaron Loupalo-BiWill davies
79′Crispin McLeanAdam Murphy
83′Oliver ArblasterPatrick Bamford
89′Mark HelmConor Haughey
90′Rhys Norrington-Davies

Highbury Stadium, FleetwoodReferee: B. Speedie

Fleetwood Town 24%
Draw 25%
Sheffield Utd 50%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

11 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 4
34 Possession % 66
4 Corners 5
13 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 6
3 Saves 6
216 Accurate passes 503

Fleetwood Town vs Sheffield Utd overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Fleetwood Town vs Sheffield Utd

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFleetwood TownDrawSheffield Utd
Model40.9%30.2%28.9%
Market18.9%23.7%57.4%
Final24.4%25.3%50.3%
Edge+21.9%+6.5%-28.4%

Confidence: Low

Why Sheffield Utd

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Fleetwood Town ↓ / Sheffield Utd → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 9% 1 11% 14% 2 8% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 70%
3+ goals 42%
No goals 11%

Fleetwood Town and Sheffield Utd expected goals

Fleetwood Town 1.31
Sheffield Utd 1.06

Total expected goals: 2.37

Fleetwood Town and Sheffield Utd attack and defence ratings

Fleetwood Town

Attack 1.01 +1%
Defence 0.70 -30%

Sheffield Utd

Attack 0.99 -1%
Defence 0.93 -7%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Fleetwood Town vs Sheffield Utd: result vs prediction

Fleetwood Town 1 – 0 Sheffield Utd

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Round of 32 fixtures

League Cup

Before and after this match

Fleetwood Town vs Sheffield Utd markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Sheffield Utd 50.3% 1.99 -28.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 57.7% 1.73 — —
Both teams to score No 50.9% 1.96 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 75.6% 1.32 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 71.1% 1.41 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Fleetwood Town24.4%
Draw25.3%
Sheffield Utd50.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.542.3%
Under 2.557.7%
Both teams to scoreYes49.1%
No50.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)49.7%
12 (either side)74.7%
X2 (draw or away)75.6%
Handicap -1Sheffield Utd win11.6%
Push (exactly one goal)17.3%
Loss71.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.3%
1-010.9%
0-010.6%

Fleetwood Town vs Sheffield Utd stats

Fleetwood Town and Sheffield Utd recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Fleetwood Town vs Sheffield Utd head-to-head

Last 7 meetings

2Fleetwood Town wins 4Draws 1Sheffield Utd wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2017-01-24Sheffield UtdFleetwood TownLeague One0-2
2016-10-01Fleetwood TownSheffield UtdLeague One1-1
2016-03-05Fleetwood TownSheffield UtdLeague One2-2
2015-11-10Fleetwood TownSheffield UtdEFL Trophy0-0
2015-10-20Sheffield UtdFleetwood TownLeague One3-0
2015-03-07Sheffield UtdFleetwood TownLeague One1-2
2014-12-13Fleetwood TownSheffield UtdLeague One1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Fleetwood Town vs Sheffield Utd odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 18.8%, draw 23.8%, away 57.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 4.90 3.95 1.63
1xBet 5.00 4.05 1.68
888Sport 4.60 3.75 1.62
Bet365 5.25 4.00 1.62
BetVictor 5.00 4.00 1.65
Betano 5.00 4.25 1.70
Betfair 5.00 3.90 1.62
Marathonbet 5.10 4.05 1.66
Pinnacle 5.19 3.96 1.67
SBO 4.37 3.63 1.56
Unibet 4.50 3.85 1.71
William Hill 4.75 3.80 1.62

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 5.00 —
X 4.00 —
2 1.65 ▲ +0.03

18 snapshots recorded, from .