Barnet
vs
Fleetwood Town
3 – 1 Full time
| 10′ | Kabongo Tshimanga | ||
| 36′ | Will davies | ||
| 43′ | Shaun Rooney | ||
| 60′ | Charlie Lakin | ||
| 62′ | Idris Kanu | ||
| 63′ | Will daviesChed Evans | ||
| 64′ | Ronan CoughlanAaron Loupalo-Bi | ||
| 69′ | Oisin Gallagher | ||
| 73′ | Oisin GallagherNnamdi Ofoborh | ||
| 75′ | Idris Kanu | ||
| 76′ | Adam MurphyJosh Robertson | ||
| 76′ | R. BennettConor Haughey | ||
| 77′ | Idris KanuJ Maskell | ||
| 78′ | Tom KnowlesIsiah Noel Williams | ||
| 85′ | Nnamdi Ofoborh | ||
| 85′ | Nnamdi Ofoborh | ||
| 90′ | Kabongo TshimangaDamola Ajayi | ||
| 90′ | Ched Evans |
Match stats
| 13 | Shots | 15 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 44 | Possession % | 56 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 20 | Fouls | 19 |
| 7 | Offsides | 3 |
| 3 | Saves | 2 |
| 119 | Accurate passes | 192 |
Barnet vs Fleetwood Town overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Barnet vs Fleetwood Town
| Probability | Barnet | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.4% | 25.9% | 32.7% |
| Market | 56.7% | 23.3% | 20.0% |
| Final | 52.8% | 24.0% | 23.2% |
| Edge | -15.3% | +2.5% | +12.8% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Barnet and Fleetwood Town expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.10
Barnet and Fleetwood Town attack and defence ratings
Barnet
Fleetwood Town
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Barnet vs Fleetwood Town: result vs prediction
Barnet 3 – 1 Fleetwood Town
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Barnet vs Fleetwood Town markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Barnet | 52.8% | 1.89 | -15.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.9% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.8% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Barnet | 52.8% |
| Draw | 24.0% | |
| Fleetwood Town | 23.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.9% |
| No | 37.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 47.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Barnet win | 21.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.6% | |
| Loss | 58.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.9% |
| 2-1 | 8.9% | |
| 1-2 | 7.8% |
Barnet vs Fleetwood Town stats
Barnet and Fleetwood Town recent form
| Barnet |
WDDDWW |
| Fleetwood Town |
WDWDDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Barnet and Fleetwood Town going into this match
Barnet record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Fleetwood Town record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
Barnet vs Fleetwood Town head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-06 | Fleetwood Town | Barnet | League Two | 2-5 |
| 2025-11-01 | Fleetwood Town | Barnet | England FA Cup | 2-1 |
| 2025-08-02 | Barnet | Fleetwood Town | League Two | 0-2 |
| 2019-11-10 | Barnet | Fleetwood Town | FA Cup | 0-2 |
| 2013-03-19 | Barnet | Fleetwood Town | League Two | 2-0 |
| 2012-09-29 | Fleetwood Town | Barnet | League Two | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Barnet vs Fleetwood Town odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 56.7%, draw 23.3%, away 20.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.64 | 3.98 | 4.63 |
| Bet365 | 1.67 | 3.90 | 4.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.65 | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| Betano | 1.62 | 4.10 | 4.70 |
| Betfair | 1.62 | 4.00 | 5.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.62 | 3.98 | 4.65 |
| Pinnacle | 1.66 | 4.11 | 4.87 |
| SBO | 1.61 | 3.40 | 3.92 |
| William Hill | 1.67 | 3.75 | 4.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .