Colchester
vs
Cheltenham
1 – 1 Full time
| 10′ | Shaun McWilliams | ||
| 18′ | Jake Evans | ||
| 28′ | Oscar thorn | ||
| 66′ | Moses Sesay | ||
| 69′ | Oscar thornJaden Williams | ||
| 74′ | Shaun McWilliamsFreddie willcox | ||
| 74′ | Jake EvansRyan Broom | ||
| 76′ | Harry Anderson | ||
| 78′ | Andreas Weimann | ||
| 83′ | Jaden Williams | ||
| 84′ | Ellis Iandolo | ||
| 85′ | Jonathan Tomkinson | ||
| 89′ | Andreas WeimannK. Otchere | ||
| 89′ | Harry AndersonLeon Chiwome | ||
| 90′ | Charlie McCann |
Match stats
| 8 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 49 | Possession % | 51 |
| 3 | Corners | 9 |
| 14 | Fouls | 13 |
| 0 | Offsides | 3 |
| 1 | Saves | 1 |
| 285 | Accurate passes | 363 |
Colchester vs Cheltenham overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Colchester vs Cheltenham
| Probability | Colchester | Draw | Cheltenham |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.2% | 24.6% | 34.2% |
| Market | 47.8% | 26.5% | 25.7% |
| Final | 46.1% | 26.0% | 27.9% |
| Edge | -6.6% | -1.8% | +8.4% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Colchester and Cheltenham expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.37
Colchester and Cheltenham attack and defence ratings
Colchester
Cheltenham
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Colchester vs Cheltenham: result vs prediction
Colchester 1 – 1 Cheltenham
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Colchester vs Cheltenham markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Colchester | 46.1% | 2.17 | -6.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.2% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.6% | 1.71 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Colchester | 46.1% |
| Draw | 26.0% | |
| Cheltenham | 27.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 34.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.2% |
| No | 32.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Colchester win | 22.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.9% | |
| Loss | 58.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.7% |
| 2-1 | 8.6% | |
| 1-2 | 7.8% |
Colchester vs Cheltenham stats
Colchester and Cheltenham recent form
| Colchester |
DLLWWD |
| Cheltenham |
WDWDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Colchester and Cheltenham going into this match
Colchester record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
Cheltenham record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
Colchester vs Cheltenham head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Cheltenham | Colchester | League Two | 1-4 |
| 2025-11-29 | Colchester | Cheltenham | League Two | 2-0 |
| 2025-03-08 | Cheltenham | Colchester | League Two | 0-1 |
| 2025-01-14 | Cheltenham | Colchester | EFL Trophy | 2-1 |
| 2024-10-19 | Colchester | Cheltenham | League Two | 1-2 |
| 2021-04-24 | Cheltenham | Colchester | League Two | 1-0 |
| 2020-12-29 | Colchester | Cheltenham | League Two | 0-0 |
| 2020-02-29 | Colchester | Cheltenham | League Two | 0-2 |
| 2019-11-23 | Cheltenham | Colchester | League Two | 1-1 |
| 2019-02-09 | Colchester | Cheltenham | League Two | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Colchester vs Cheltenham odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 47.8%, draw 26.5%, away 25.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.94 | 3.48 | 3.62 |
| Bet365 | 1.91 | 3.50 | 3.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.95 | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| Betano | 1.98 | 3.50 | 3.55 |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 3.75 | 3.75 |
| Marathonbet | 1.92 | 3.48 | 3.60 |
| Pinnacle | 1.98 | 3.65 | 3.70 |
| SBO | 1.91 | 3.05 | 3.14 |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 3.40 | 3.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .