Colchester
vs
Crewe
1 – 1 Full time
| 27′ | Harry Anderson | ||
| 46′ | Calum·Agius | ||
| 54′ | Jordan GibsonAdrien thibaut | ||
| 69′ | Calum·AgiusCharlie McNeill | ||
| 69′ | Jay WilliamsPaul Digby | ||
| 72′ | K. KouassiBradley ihionvein | ||
| 73′ | Oscar thornJaden Williams | ||
| 75′ | Joel TabinerKyle Ure | ||
| 87′ | Moses SesayFrankie Terry | ||
| 87′ | Jack PayneKane Vincent-Young | ||
| 90′ | Joshua Stephenson |
Match stats
| 16 | Shots | 9 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 47 | Possession % | 53 |
| 1 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 17 |
| 0 | Offsides | 3 |
| 0 | Saves | 4 |
| 331 | Accurate passes | 371 |
Colchester vs Crewe overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Colchester vs Crewe
| Probability | Colchester | Draw | Crewe |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.7% | 30.2% | 34.1% |
| Market | 44.4% | 26.5% | 29.1% |
| Final | 42.2% | 27.4% | 30.4% |
| Edge | -8.7% | +3.7% | +5.0% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Colchester and Crewe expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.41
Colchester and Crewe attack and defence ratings
Colchester
Crewe
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Colchester vs Crewe: result vs prediction
Colchester 1 – 1 Crewe
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Colchester vs Crewe markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Colchester | 42.2% | 2.37 | -8.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.7% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.4% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.6% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 64.3% | 1.56 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Colchester | 42.2% |
| Draw | 27.4% | |
| Crewe | 30.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 56.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.4% |
| No | 49.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Colchester win | 15.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.8% | |
| Loss | 64.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.3% |
| 0-0 | 10.3% | |
| 1-0 | 9.7% |
Colchester vs Crewe stats
Colchester and Crewe recent form
| LLWWDL | |
| DDDLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Colchester and Crewe going into this match
Colchester record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
Crewe record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
Colchester vs Crewe head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | Crewe | Colchester | League Two | 1-0 |
| 2025-09-06 | Colchester | Crewe | League Two | 1-1 |
| 2025-04-18 | Colchester | Crewe | League Two | 0-0 |
| 2024-12-20 | Crewe | Colchester | League Two | 0-0 |
| 2024-04-27 | Colchester | Crewe | League Two | 1-1 |
| 2023-09-23 | Crewe | Colchester | League Two | 2-1 |
| 2023-04-10 | Colchester | Crewe | League Two | 4-0 |
| 2022-11-12 | Crewe | Colchester | League Two | 1-0 |
| 2019-10-22 | Crewe | Colchester | League Two | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Colchester vs Crewe odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.4%, draw 26.5%, away 29.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.09 | 3.52 | 3.21 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.20 |
| BetVictor | 2.10 | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| Betano | 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.25 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.70 | 3.30 |
| Marathonbet | 2.07 | 3.52 | 3.20 |
| Pinnacle | 2.10 | 3.75 | 3.26 |
| SBO | 2.02 | 3.21 | 2.93 |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .