League Two · Full time ·Matchday 6

Colchester vs Crewe

1 – 1 Full time

27′Harry Anderson
46′Calum·Agius
54′Jordan GibsonAdrien thibaut
69′Calum·AgiusCharlie McNeill
69′Jay WilliamsPaul Digby
72′K. KouassiBradley ihionvein
73′Oscar thornJaden Williams
75′Joel TabinerKyle Ure
87′Moses SesayFrankie Terry
87′Jack PayneKane Vincent-Young
90′Joshua Stephenson

Colchester Community Stadium, Colchester

Colchester 42%
Draw 27%
Crewe 30%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

16 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 1
47 Possession % 53
1 Corners 3
12 Fouls 17
0 Offsides 3
0 Saves 4
331 Accurate passes 371

Colchester vs Crewe overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Colchester vs Crewe

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityColchesterDrawCrewe
Model35.7%30.2%34.1%
Market44.4%26.5%29.1%
Final42.2%27.4%30.4%
Edge-8.7%+3.7%+5.0%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Colchester ↓ / Crewe → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 9% 1 10% 14% 8% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 71%
3+ goals 43%
No goals 10%

Colchester and Crewe expected goals

Colchester 1.22
Crewe 1.19

Total expected goals: 2.41

Colchester and Crewe attack and defence ratings

Colchester

Attack 0.94 -6%
Defence 1.07 +7%

Crewe

Attack 0.94 -6%
Defence 0.94 -6%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Colchester vs Crewe: result vs prediction

Colchester 1 – 1 Crewe

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

League Two

Before and after this match

Colchester vs Crewe markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Colchester 42.2% 2.37 -8.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 56.7% 1.77 — —
Both teams to score Yes 50.4% 1.98 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.6% 1.38 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 64.3% 1.56 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Colchester42.2%
Draw27.4%
Crewe30.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.543.3%
Under 2.556.7%
Both teams to scoreYes50.4%
No49.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)69.6%
12 (either side)72.6%
X2 (draw or away)57.8%
Handicap -1Colchester win15.9%
Push (exactly one goal)19.8%
Loss64.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.3%
0-010.3%
1-09.7%

Colchester vs Crewe stats

Colchester and Crewe recent form

newest first
Colchester LLWWDL
Crewe DDDLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Colchester and Crewe going into this match

league record before kick-off

Colchester record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.

Crewe record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.

Colchester vs Crewe head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

1Colchester wins 5Draws 3Crewe wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-01-31CreweColchesterLeague Two1-0
2025-09-06ColchesterCreweLeague Two1-1
2025-04-18ColchesterCreweLeague Two0-0
2024-12-20CreweColchesterLeague Two0-0
2024-04-27ColchesterCreweLeague Two1-1
2023-09-23CreweColchesterLeague Two2-1
2023-04-10ColchesterCreweLeague Two4-0
2022-11-12CreweColchesterLeague Two1-0
2019-10-22CreweColchesterLeague Two0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Colchester vs Crewe odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 44.4%, draw 26.5%, away 29.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.09 3.52 3.21
Bet365 2.10 3.50 3.20
BetVictor 2.10 3.60 3.20
Betano 2.10 3.50 3.25
Betfair 2.10 3.70 3.30
Marathonbet 2.07 3.52 3.20
Pinnacle 2.10 3.75 3.26
SBO 2.02 3.21 2.93
William Hill 2.10 3.40 3.10

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.10 —
X 3.52 ▲ +0.08
2 3.20 ▼ -0.02

13 snapshots recorded, from .