League Two · Full time ·Matchday 5

Crewe vs York

1 – 1 Full time

9′Luke Offord
13′Ollie Banks
29′L. Billington
40′Alex Newby
45′Joseph Rabole FelixJeff King
56′Joey Greyjovan malcolm
62′Matúš HolíčekAdrien thibaut
62′Charlie McNeillJoel Tabiner
62′Jack LankesterJordan Gibson
62′Reece HutchinsonMickey Demetriou
74′Alex HuntArthur Read
83′Joe WhiteKyle Ure
85′Ollie PearceCraig Hewitt
85′Alex NewbyZech Medley
90′Morgan·Williams

Alexandra Stadium, Crewe

Crewe 36%
Draw 27%
York 37%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

17 Shots 27
6 Shots on target 6
40 Possession % 60
5 Corners 9
12 Fouls 10
2 Offsides 1
4 Saves 4
254 Accurate passes 429

Crewe vs York overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Crewe vs York

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCreweDrawYork
Model43.2%25.4%31.4%
Market33.6%27.8%38.6%
Final36.0%27.2%36.8%
Edge+9.6%-2.3%-7.2%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Crewe ↓ / York → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 12% 8% 2 6% 9% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 61%
No goals 5%

Crewe and York expected goals

Crewe 1.72
York 1.44

Total expected goals: 3.17

Crewe and York attack and defence ratings

Crewe

Attack 0.95 -5%
Defence 0.95 -5%

York

Attack 1.28 +28%
Defence 1.31 +31%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Crewe vs York: result vs prediction

Crewe 1 – 1 York

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

League Two

Before and after this match

Crewe vs York markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 York 36.8% 2.72 -7.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 61.3% 1.63 — —
Both teams to score Yes 63.8% 1.57 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.8% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 68.7% 1.46 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Crewe36.0%
Draw27.2%
York36.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.561.3%
Under 2.538.7%
Both teams to scoreYes63.8%
No36.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)63.2%
12 (either side)72.8%
X2 (draw or away)64.0%
Handicap -1York win14.8%
Push (exactly one goal)16.5%
Loss68.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.5%
2-19.0%
1-27.6%

Crewe vs York stats

Crewe and York recent form

newest first
Crewe DDLWWW
York LWDWLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Crewe and York going into this match

league record before kick-off

Crewe record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.

York record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.

Crewe vs York head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Crewe vs York odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 33.5%, draw 28.1%, away 38.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.75 3.30 2.48
1xBet 2.77 3.30 2.41
Bet365 2.75 3.40 2.45
BetVictor 2.80 3.40 2.40
Betano 2.87 3.25 2.40
Betfair 2.75 3.50 2.45
Dafabet 2.90 3.50 2.39
Marathonbet 2.77 3.30 2.41
Pinnacle 2.84 3.44 2.47
SBO 2.59 3.00 2.21
Superbet 2.87 3.35 2.35
Unibet 2.50 3.20 2.55
William Hill 2.75 3.25 2.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.77 ▲ +0.32
X 3.35 ▲ +0.03
2 2.41 ▼ -0.29

11 snapshots recorded, from .