League Two · Full time ·Matchday 4

Crewe vs Walsall

2 – 2 Full time

42′A. Pressley
46′D. SkuraH. Burke
50′J. March
57′A. Pressley
58′C. McNeillJ. Gibson
58′J. TabinerJ. Lankester
67′C. CrewI. Moore
67′A. DallasT. Sodje
72′L. BillingtonM. Demetriou
75′Lewis Simper
80′J. MarchA. Thibaut
81′R. SmithA. Adomah
88′Tai Sodje
90′R. Hutchinson

Alexandra Stadium, CreweReferee: O. Mackey

Crewe 40%
Draw 28%
Walsall 32%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

20 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 4
55 Possession % 45
9 Corners 4
11 Fouls 14
1 Offsides 1
2 Saves 3
387 Accurate passes 307

Crewe vs Walsall overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Crewe vs Walsall

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCreweDrawWalsall
Model33.6%31.7%34.7%
Market41.5%27.3%31.2%
Final39.5%28.4%32.1%
Edge-7.9%+4.3%+3.6%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Crewe ↓ / Walsall → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 11% 1 11% 15% 7% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 66%
3+ goals 38%
No goals 12%

Crewe and Walsall expected goals

Crewe 1.10
Walsall 1.12

Total expected goals: 2.22

Crewe and Walsall attack and defence ratings

Crewe

Attack 0.87 -13%
Defence 0.92 -8%

Walsall

Attack 1.02 +2%
Defence 0.92 -8%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Crewe vs Walsall: result vs prediction

Crewe 2 – 2 Walsall

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

League Two

Before and after this match

Crewe vs Walsall markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Crewe 39.5% 2.53 -7.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 61.8% 1.62 — —
Both teams to score No 53.8% 1.86 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.6% 1.40 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 66.4% 1.51 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Crewe39.5%
Draw28.4%
Walsall32.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.538.2%
Under 2.561.8%
Both teams to scoreYes46.2%
No53.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)67.9%
12 (either side)71.6%
X2 (draw or away)60.5%
Handicap -1Crewe win14.0%
Push (exactly one goal)19.6%
Loss66.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.7%
0-012.2%
0-110.9%

Crewe vs Walsall stats

Crewe and Walsall recent form

newest first
Crewe DLWWWD
Walsall WDDWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Crewe and Walsall going into this match

league record before kick-off

Crewe record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.

Walsall record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Crewe vs Walsall head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Crewe wins 3Draws 4Walsall wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-14CreweWalsallLeague Two0-3
2025-12-26WalsallCreweLeague Two1-0
2025-05-03CreweWalsallLeague Two0-1
2024-11-09WalsallCreweLeague Two1-1
2023-12-26WalsallCreweLeague Two2-0
2023-08-19CreweWalsallLeague Two2-2
2023-04-15CreweWalsallLeague Two2-0
2023-02-21WalsallCreweLeague Two0-0
2020-08-15CreweWalsallFriendlies Clubs2-0
2020-02-01WalsallCreweLeague Two1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Crewe vs Walsall odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 41.5%, draw 27.3%, away 31.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.24 3.40 3.05
1xBet 2.24 3.50 2.94
Bet365 2.30 3.40 2.90
BetVictor 2.25 3.50 3.00
Betano 2.27 3.30 3.10
Betfair 2.20 3.60 3.00
Dafabet 2.28 3.45 3.10
Marathonbet 2.22 3.50 2.92
Pinnacle 2.26 3.70 2.98
SBO 2.15 3.16 2.86
Superbet 2.25 3.35 3.05
Unibet 2.23 3.25 2.88
William Hill 2.20 3.40 2.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.24 ▲ +0.02
X 3.40 —
2 2.98 ▼ -0.02

5 snapshots recorded, from .