Port Vale
vs
Crewe
0 – 0 Full time
Port Vale vs Crewe overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Port Vale vs Crewe
| Probability | Port Vale | Draw | Crewe |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 21.8% | 30.1% | 48.0% |
| Market | 42.6% | 27.5% | 29.9% |
| Final | 37.4% | 28.2% | 34.4% |
| Edge | -20.7% | +2.6% | +18.1% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Port Vale and Crewe expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.23
Port Vale and Crewe attack and defence ratings
Port Vale
Crewe
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Port Vale vs Crewe: result vs prediction
Port Vale 0 – 0 Crewe
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Port Vale vs Crewe markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Port Vale | 37.4% | 2.68 | -20.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.6% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 56.0% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.8% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 78.2% | 1.28 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Port Vale | 37.4% |
| Draw | 28.2% | |
| Crewe | 34.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 61.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.0% |
| No | 56.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 65.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Port Vale win | 7.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 14.4% | |
| Loss | 78.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.9% |
| 0-1 | 13.6% | |
| 0-0 | 12.1% |
Port Vale vs Crewe stats
Port Vale and Crewe recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Port Vale and Crewe going into this match
Port Vale record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
Crewe record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
Port Vale vs Crewe head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-29 | Crewe | Port Vale | League Two | 0-1 |
| 2024-11-25 | Port Vale | Crewe | League Two | 1-1 |
| 2023-09-05 | Port Vale | Crewe | EFL Trophy | 1-0 |
| 2023-08-29 | Port Vale | Crewe | League Cup | 0-0 |
| 2019-11-02 | Crewe | Port Vale | League Two | 0-1 |
| 2019-04-06 | Port Vale | Crewe | League Two | 1-0 |
| 2018-09-22 | Crewe | Port Vale | League Two | 0-1 |
| 2018-04-02 | Crewe | Port Vale | League Two | 2-2 |
| 2017-11-07 | Port Vale | Crewe | EFL Trophy | 4-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Port Vale vs Crewe odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.6%, draw 27.5%, away 29.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.20 | 3.35 | 3.15 |
| 1xBet | 2.20 | 3.42 | 3.06 |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.20 |
| BetVictor | 2.20 | 3.40 | 3.13 |
| Betano | 2.22 | 3.35 | 3.15 |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 3.50 | 3.20 |
| Dafabet | 2.24 | 3.45 | 3.20 |
| Marathonbet | 2.18 | 3.42 | 3.05 |
| Pinnacle | 2.20 | 3.57 | 3.05 |
| SBO | 2.08 | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| Superbet | 2.22 | 3.35 | 3.15 |
| Unibet | 2.20 | 3.50 | 3.00 |
| William Hill | 2.15 | 3.30 | 3.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .