Shrewsbury
vs
Salford City
1 – 0 Full time
Shrewsbury vs Salford City overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Shrewsbury vs Salford City
| Probability | Shrewsbury | Draw | Salford City |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22.7% | 31.4% | 45.8% |
| Market | 24.9% | 26.7% | 48.4% |
| Final | 24.4% | 27.9% | 47.8% |
| Edge | -2.2% | +4.7% | -2.6% |
Why Salford City
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.28 vs 0.83.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Shrewsbury and Salford City expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.11
Shrewsbury and Salford City attack and defence ratings
Shrewsbury
Salford City
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Shrewsbury vs Salford City: result vs prediction
Shrewsbury 1 – 0 Salford City
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Shrewsbury vs Salford City markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Salford City | 47.8% | 2.09 | -2.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 64.8% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 58.1% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 75.6% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.2% | 1.85 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shrewsbury | 24.4% |
| Draw | 27.9% | |
| Salford City | 47.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 35.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 64.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41.9% |
| No | 58.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 52.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 75.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Salford City win | 21.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.1% | |
| Loss | 54.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 14.3% |
| 1-1 | 14.2% | |
| 0-0 | 13.4% |
Shrewsbury vs Salford City stats
Shrewsbury and Salford City recent form
| Shrewsbury |
LLLDLD |
| Salford City |
LLDLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Shrewsbury and Salford City going into this match
Shrewsbury record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Salford City record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
Shrewsbury vs Salford City head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Salford City | Shrewsbury | League Cup | 1-1 |
| 2026-02-24 | Salford City | Shrewsbury | League Two | 1-2 |
| 2025-09-13 | Shrewsbury | Salford City | League Two | 1-3 |
| 2024-11-02 | Salford City | Shrewsbury | England FA Cup | 2-1 |
| 2018-11-21 | Salford City | Shrewsbury | FA Cup | 1-3 |
| 2018-11-11 | Shrewsbury | Salford City | FA Cup | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Shrewsbury vs Salford City odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 24.9%, draw 26.7%, away 48.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.85 | 3.50 | 1.91 |
| 1xBet | 3.60 | 3.56 | 1.94 |
| Bet365 | 3.80 | 3.50 | 1.90 |
| BetVictor | 3.75 | 3.30 | 1.87 |
| Betano | 3.75 | 3.50 | 1.93 |
| Betfair | 3.75 | 3.50 | 1.95 |
| Dafabet | 3.85 | 3.50 | 1.97 |
| Marathonbet | 3.60 | 3.56 | 1.92 |
| Pinnacle | 3.65 | 3.64 | 1.94 |
| SBO | 3.13 | 3.02 | 1.92 |
| Superbet | 3.75 | 3.45 | 1.95 |
| Unibet | 3.45 | 3.25 | 1.98 |
| William Hill | 3.60 | 3.40 | 1.91 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .