League Two
·
Full time
·Matchday 2
Salford City
vs
Chesterfield
0 – 1 Full time
Salford City
33%
Draw
36%
Chesterfield
31%
Salford City vs Chesterfield overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Salford City vs Chesterfield
| Probability | Salford City | Draw | Chesterfield |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32.9% | 35.6% | 31.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 32.9% | 35.6% | 31.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
82%
2+ goals
55%
3+ goals
27%
No goals
18%
Salford City and Chesterfield expected goals
Salford City
0.91
Chesterfield
0.89
Total expected goals: 1.80
Salford City and Chesterfield attack and defence ratings
Salford City
Attack
0.89 -11%
Defence
1.00 +0%
Chesterfield
Attack
0.74 -26%
Defence
0.75 -25%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Salford City vs Chesterfield: result vs prediction
Salford City 0 – 1 Chesterfield
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Salford City vs Chesterfield markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Draw | 35.6% | 2.81 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 63.5% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.5% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 67.1% | 1.49 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Salford City | 32.9% |
| Draw | 35.6% | |
| Chesterfield | 31.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 26.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 73.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 36.5% |
| No | 63.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 64.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 67.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Salford City win | 12.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.8% | |
| Loss | 67.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 17.9% |
| 1-1 | 14.7% | |
| 1-0 | 13.8% |
Salford City vs Chesterfield stats
Salford City and Chesterfield recent form
| Salford City |
LDLDWD |
| Chesterfield |
LLDLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Salford City and Chesterfield going into this match
Salford City record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
Chesterfield record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
Salford City vs Chesterfield head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
0Salford City wins
0Draws
2Chesterfield wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-27 | Salford City | Chesterfield | League Two | 0-1 |
| 2025-10-11 | Chesterfield | Salford City | League Two | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.