League Two
·
Full time
·Matchday 2
Fleetwood Town
vs
Gillingham
0 – 0 Full time
Fleetwood Town
69%
Draw
21%
Gillingham
11%
Fleetwood Town vs Gillingham overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Fleetwood Town vs Gillingham
| Probability | Fleetwood Town | Draw | Gillingham |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 68.9% | 20.6% | 10.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 68.9% | 20.6% | 10.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Fleetwood Town
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.12 vs 0.72.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
93%
2+ goals
78%
3+ goals
54%
No goals
7%
Fleetwood Town and Gillingham expected goals
Fleetwood Town
2.12
Gillingham
0.72
Total expected goals: 2.84
Fleetwood Town and Gillingham attack and defence ratings
Fleetwood Town
Attack
0.91 -9%
Defence
0.86 -14%
Gillingham
Attack
0.70 -30%
Defence
1.70 +70%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Fleetwood Town vs Gillingham: result vs prediction
Fleetwood Town 0 – 0 Gillingham
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Fleetwood Town vs Gillingham markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fleetwood Town | 68.9% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 89.5% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Fleetwood Town win | 45.2% | 2.21 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fleetwood Town | 68.9% |
| Draw | 20.6% | |
| Gillingham | 10.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.0% |
| No | 54.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 89.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 31.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Fleetwood Town win | 45.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.7% | |
| Loss | 31.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 13.1% |
| 1-0 | 11.5% | |
| 1-1 | 9.8% |
Fleetwood Town vs Gillingham stats
Fleetwood Town and Gillingham recent form
| Fleetwood Town |
WWDDDW |
| Gillingham |
LLWLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Fleetwood Town and Gillingham going into this match
Fleetwood Town record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
Gillingham record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
Fleetwood Town vs Gillingham head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
1Fleetwood Town wins
1Draws
0Gillingham wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | Gillingham | Fleetwood Town | League Two | 1-1 |
| 2025-12-20 | Fleetwood Town | Gillingham | League Two | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.