League Two
·
Full time
·Matchday 2
Rotherham
vs
York
1 – 1 Full time
Rotherham
24%
Draw
23%
York
53%
Rotherham vs York overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Rotherham vs York
| Probability | Rotherham | Draw | York |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 23.9% | 22.6% | 53.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 23.9% | 22.6% | 53.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why York
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.30 vs 1.31.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
96%
2+ goals
88%
3+ goals
70%
No goals
4%
Rotherham and York expected goals
Rotherham
1.31
York
2.30
Total expected goals: 3.61
Rotherham and York attack and defence ratings
Rotherham
Attack
0.73 -27%
Defence
1.50 +50%
York
Attack
1.28 +28%
Defence
1.32 +32%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Rotherham vs York: result vs prediction
Rotherham 1 – 1 York
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Rotherham vs York markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | York | 53.5% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.2% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.0% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.4% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 41.3% | 2.42 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rotherham | 23.9% |
| Draw | 22.6% | |
| York | 53.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 31.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.0% |
| No | 33.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 46.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 76.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | York win | 37.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.9% | |
| Loss | 41.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.7% |
| 1-2 | 9.3% | |
| 0-2 | 6.7% |
Rotherham vs York stats
Rotherham and York recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Rotherham and York going into this match
Rotherham record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
York record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.