York
vs
Exeter City
2 – 1 Full time
York vs Exeter City overview
Garuda Lions analysis: York vs Exeter City
| Probability | York | Draw | Exeter City |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48.5% | 25.0% | 26.5% |
| Market | 55.6% | 24.4% | 20.0% |
| Final | 53.8% | 24.6% | 21.6% |
| Edge | -7.0% | +0.6% | +6.4% |
Why York
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.83 vs 1.31.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
York and Exeter City expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.13
York and Exeter City attack and defence ratings
York
Exeter City
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
York vs Exeter City: result vs prediction
York 2 – 1 Exeter City
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
York vs Exeter City markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | York | 53.8% | 1.86 | -7.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.2% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.4% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.4% | 1.94 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | York | 53.8% |
| Draw | 24.6% | |
| Exeter City | 21.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.2% |
| No | 37.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 46.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | York win | 27.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.0% | |
| Loss | 51.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.5% |
| 2-1 | 9.5% | |
| 2-0 | 7.3% |
York vs Exeter City stats
York and Exeter City recent form
| York |
DWLLWL |
| Exeter City |
WLLLDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
York and Exeter City going into this match
York record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
Exeter City record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
York vs Exeter City head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-02-16 | York | Exeter City | League Two | 2-0 |
| 2015-08-22 | Exeter City | York | League Two | 0-0 |
| 2015-02-28 | York | Exeter City | League Two | 0-0 |
| 2014-08-23 | Exeter City | York | League Two | 1-1 |
| 2014-03-01 | York | Exeter City | League Two | 2-1 |
| 2013-08-31 | Exeter City | York | League Two | 2-1 |
| 2013-01-05 | York | Exeter City | League Two | 1-2 |
| 2012-09-15 | Exeter City | York | League Two | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
York vs Exeter City odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 55.6%, draw 24.4%, away 20.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.70 | 3.80 | 4.65 |
| 1xBet | 1.68 | 3.88 | 4.57 |
| Bet365 | 1.67 | 3.80 | 4.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.65 | 3.70 | 4.60 |
| Betano | 1.70 | 3.80 | 4.65 |
| Betfair | 1.67 | 3.90 | 4.75 |
| Dafabet | 1.71 | 3.90 | 4.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.66 | 3.88 | 4.60 |
| Pinnacle | 1.66 | 4.01 | 4.63 |
| SBO | 1.60 | 3.33 | 4.08 |
| Superbet | 1.70 | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| Unibet | 1.61 | 3.65 | 4.75 |
| William Hill | 1.67 | 3.70 | 4.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .