Cheltenham
vs
York
3 – 2 Full time
| 5′ | Shaun McWilliams | ||
| 12′ | O. Pearce | ||
| 17′ | J. Evans | ||
| 46′ | J. ShipleyP. Sweeney | ||
| 61′ | B. StevensonF. Willcox | ||
| 65′ | J. Evans | ||
| 66′ | A. HuntA. Read | ||
| 67′ | J. FelixJ. King | ||
| 67′ | A. NewbyJ. Malcolm | ||
| 73′ | J. Malcolm | ||
| 86′ | C. McCann | ||
| 87′ | J. WilsonG. Nurse | ||
| 87′ | J. EvansJ. Bickerstaff | ||
| 88′ | M. KitchingZ. Medley | ||
| 90′ | A. WeimannK. Otchere |
Match stats
| 13 | Shots | 20 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 37 | Possession % | 63 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 6 |
| 2 | Offsides | 3 |
| 3 | Saves | 2 |
| 238 | Accurate passes | 446 |
Cheltenham vs York overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cheltenham vs York
| Probability | Cheltenham | Draw | York |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30.9% | 22.2% | 46.9% |
| Market | 24.5% | 25.9% | 49.6% |
| Final | 26.1% | 25.0% | 48.9% |
| Edge | +6.4% | -3.7% | -2.7% |
Why York
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.14 vs 1.73.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Cheltenham and York expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.88
Cheltenham and York attack and defence ratings
Cheltenham
York
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Cheltenham vs York: result vs prediction
Cheltenham 3 – 2 York
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Cheltenham vs York markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | York | 48.9% | 2.04 | -2.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cheltenham | 26.1% |
| Draw | 25.0% | |
| York | 48.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 25.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73.5% |
| No | 26.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 51.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 73.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | York win | 28.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.9% | |
| Loss | 53.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 8.5% |
| 1-2 | 8.2% | |
| 2-2 | 7.1% |
Cheltenham vs York stats
Cheltenham and York recent form
| Cheltenham |
DLWLLL |
| York |
WDWLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Cheltenham and York going into this match
Cheltenham record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
York record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
Cheltenham vs York head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015-04-03 | York | Cheltenham | League Two | 1-0 |
| 2014-11-01 | Cheltenham | York | League Two | 0-1 |
| 2014-02-08 | York | Cheltenham | League Two | 0-0 |
| 2013-11-02 | Cheltenham | York | League Two | 2-2 |
| 2013-01-12 | Cheltenham | York | League Two | 1-1 |
| 2012-09-22 | York | Cheltenham | League Two | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Cheltenham vs York odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 24.5%, draw 25.9%, away 49.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.85 | 3.60 | 1.88 |
| 1xBet | 3.92 | 3.60 | 1.85 |
| Bet365 | 3.60 | 3.60 | 1.91 |
| BetVictor | 4.00 | 3.70 | 1.83 |
| Betano | 3.90 | 3.50 | 1.88 |
| Betfair | 4.00 | 3.75 | 1.87 |
| Dafabet | 3.90 | 3.65 | 1.92 |
| Marathonbet | 3.64 | 3.52 | 1.92 |
| Pinnacle | 3.72 | 3.65 | 1.97 |
| SBO | 3.54 | 3.24 | 1.86 |
| Superbet | 3.80 | 3.55 | 1.90 |
| Unibet | 3.60 | 3.45 | 1.87 |
| William Hill | 3.80 | 3.50 | 1.85 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
5 snapshots recorded, from .