Cheltenham
vs
Grimsby
2 – 2 Full time
| 12′ | Charlie McCann | ||
| 28′ | Jonathan Tomkinson | ||
| 41′ | Andreas Weimann | ||
| 45′ | Charles VernamAndy Cook | ||
| 45′ | Cian DoyleMark Shelton | ||
| 47′ | Mark Shelton | ||
| 64′ | Jake EvansFreddie willcox | ||
| 64′ | Andreas WeimannJake Bickerstaff | ||
| 69′ | Sonny FinchFinn Cartwright | ||
| 69′ | Iwan MorganRyley Reynolds | ||
| 72′ | Jordan ShipleyGeorge Nurse | ||
| 79′ | Kieran Green | ||
| 82′ | Kieran Green | ||
| 86′ | Shaun McWilliamsK. Otchere | ||
| 86′ | Joseph TomlinsonJames Wilson | ||
| 90′ | Stephen John Cotterill |
Match stats
| 8 | Shots | 13 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 42 | Possession % | 58 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 8 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 0 | Saves | 2 |
| 239 | Accurate passes | 378 |
Cheltenham vs Grimsby overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cheltenham vs Grimsby
| Probability | Cheltenham | Draw | Grimsby |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31.0% | 22.4% | 46.6% |
| Market | 26.6% | 26.6% | 46.7% |
| Final | 27.7% | 25.6% | 46.7% |
| Edge | +4.4% | -4.2% | -0.1% |
Why Grimsby
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.11 vs 1.72.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Cheltenham and Grimsby expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.83
Cheltenham and Grimsby attack and defence ratings
Cheltenham
Grimsby
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Cheltenham vs Grimsby: result vs prediction
Cheltenham 2 – 2 Grimsby
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Cheltenham vs Grimsby markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Grimsby | 46.7% | 2.14 | -0.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.5% | 1.87 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cheltenham | 27.7% |
| Draw | 25.6% | |
| Grimsby | 46.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 26.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 72.8% |
| No | 27.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 53.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 72.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Grimsby win | 27.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.0% | |
| Loss | 53.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 8.7% |
| 1-2 | 8.3% | |
| 2-2 | 7.1% |
Cheltenham vs Grimsby stats
Cheltenham and Grimsby recent form
| Cheltenham |
WDLWLL |
| Grimsby |
DDDWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Cheltenham and Grimsby going into this match
Cheltenham record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
Grimsby record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
Cheltenham vs Grimsby head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | Cheltenham | Grimsby | League Two | 0-2 |
| 2025-09-27 | Grimsby | Cheltenham | League Two | 7-1 |
| 2025-03-01 | Cheltenham | Grimsby | League Two | 1-1 |
| 2024-08-17 | Grimsby | Cheltenham | League Two | 3-2 |
| 2021-04-05 | Grimsby | Cheltenham | League Two | 1-1 |
| 2020-10-13 | Cheltenham | Grimsby | League Two | 1-3 |
| 2019-11-26 | Grimsby | Cheltenham | League Two | 0-0 |
| 2019-02-16 | Grimsby | Cheltenham | League Two | 1-0 |
| 2018-12-08 | Cheltenham | Grimsby | League Two | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Cheltenham vs Grimsby odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 26.5%, draw 26.5%, away 46.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.55 | 3.55 | 1.97 |
| 1xBet | 3.50 | 3.50 | 1.99 |
| Bet365 | 3.50 | 3.50 | 2.00 |
| BetVictor | 3.50 | 3.60 | 2.00 |
| Betano | 3.60 | 3.50 | 1.98 |
| Betfair | 3.30 | 3.70 | 2.10 |
| Dafabet | 3.65 | 3.65 | 2.00 |
| Marathonbet | 3.50 | 3.50 | 1.97 |
| Pinnacle | 3.51 | 3.68 | 2.03 |
| SBO | 3.09 | 3.07 | 1.92 |
| Superbet | 3.55 | 3.55 | 1.97 |
| Unibet | 3.55 | 3.30 | 1.90 |
| William Hill | 3.40 | 3.40 | 1.95 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .