Chesterfield
vs
Barnet
3 – 3 Full time
| 21′ | Remeao Hutton | ||
| 29′ | T. Knowles | ||
| 33′ | George James McEachran | ||
| 37′ | Alfie Pond | ||
| 39′ | L. Marsh | ||
| 45′ | Z. Williams | ||
| 50′ | Oisin Gallagher | ||
| 58′ | F. BrydenL. Bonis | ||
| 58′ | L. MandevilleJ. Koroma | ||
| 60′ | Brandon Comley | ||
| 68′ | T. KnowlesI. Noel-Williams | ||
| 71′ | L. Marsh | ||
| 72′ | Idris Kanu | ||
| 74′ | B. ComleyJ. Maskell | ||
| 80′ | L. MarshK. Dyer | ||
| 81′ | G. McEachranT. Naylor | ||
| 86′ | D. MarkandayJ. Randall | ||
| 88′ | K. Tshimanga | ||
| 90′ | K. TshimangaW. Wright | ||
| 90′ | J. Randall |
Match stats
| 15 | Shots | 23 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 58 | Possession % | 42 |
| 4 | Corners | 8 |
| 9 | Fouls | 19 |
| 6 | Offsides | 2 |
| 3 | Saves | 4 |
| 241 | Accurate passes | 144 |
Chesterfield vs Barnet overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Chesterfield vs Barnet
| Probability | Chesterfield | Draw | Barnet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28.4% | 29.4% | 42.2% |
| Market | 43.5% | 26.8% | 29.7% |
| Final | 39.7% | 27.4% | 32.8% |
| Edge | -15.1% | +2.6% | +12.5% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Chesterfield and Barnet expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.47
Chesterfield and Barnet attack and defence ratings
Chesterfield
Barnet
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Chesterfield vs Barnet: result vs prediction
Chesterfield 3 – 3 Barnet
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Chesterfield vs Barnet markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chesterfield | 39.7% | 2.52 | -15.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.1% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.6% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 71.5% | 1.40 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chesterfield | 39.7% |
| Draw | 27.4% | |
| Barnet | 32.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 55.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.0% |
| No | 49.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 60.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Chesterfield win | 11.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.9% | |
| Loss | 71.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.0% |
| 0-1 | 10.4% | |
| 0-0 | 9.7% |
Chesterfield vs Barnet stats
Chesterfield and Barnet recent form
| Chesterfield |
DLWLLD |
| Barnet |
DDWWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Chesterfield and Barnet going into this match
Chesterfield record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
Barnet record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Chesterfield vs Barnet head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | Barnet | Chesterfield | League Two | 1-0 |
| 2025-12-13 | Chesterfield | Barnet | League Two | 3-1 |
| 2024-02-27 | Barnet | Chesterfield | National League | 0-2 |
| 2023-11-11 | Chesterfield | Barnet | National League | 4-2 |
| 2023-01-28 | Barnet | Chesterfield | National League | 3-0 |
| 2022-08-26 | Chesterfield | Barnet | National League | 3-1 |
| 2022-01-15 | Barnet | Chesterfield | National League | 1-4 |
| 2021-09-14 | Chesterfield | Barnet | National League | 4-2 |
| 2021-03-20 | Barnet | Chesterfield | National League | 0-2 |
| 2020-12-12 | Chesterfield | Barnet | National League | 6-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Chesterfield vs Barnet odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 43.6%, draw 26.7%, away 29.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.16 | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| 1xBet | 2.14 | 3.48 | 3.14 |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.25 |
| BetVictor | 2.15 | 3.50 | 3.20 |
| Betano | 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.25 |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 3.70 | 3.10 |
| Dafabet | 2.11 | 3.65 | 3.30 |
| Marathonbet | 2.12 | 3.48 | 3.12 |
| Pinnacle | 2.17 | 3.71 | 3.14 |
| SBO | 1.96 | 3.12 | 2.95 |
| Superbet | 2.10 | 3.55 | 3.25 |
| Unibet | 2.20 | 3.25 | 2.90 |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .