Garuda Lions
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League Two · Full time ·Matchday 5

Salford City vs Port Vale

1 – 0 Full time

51′Kyle Dempsey
52′J. Powell
53′M. AsamoahO. Hernandez
55′Lewis Montsma
61′R. GraydonB. Wiredu
62′A. OdohK. N'Mai
64′Macaulay Langstaff
69′Kyle JohnK. Figueroa
71′L. MolyneuxN. Asiimwe
71′M. LangstaffD. Udoh
80′J. HeadleyL. Gordon
80′O. LynchB. Waine
82′J. PowellJ. Grant

Moor Lane, Salford

Salford City 52%
Draw 27%
Port Vale 22%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

8 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 3
58 Possession % 42
6 Corners 6
11 Fouls 18
0 Offsides 2
4 Saves 1
262 Accurate passes 151

Salford City vs Port Vale overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Salford City vs Port Vale

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySalford CityDrawPort Vale
Model52.5%30.2%17.2%
Market51.4%25.4%23.2%
Final51.7%26.6%21.7%
Edge+1.1%+4.9%-6.0%

Confidence: Low

Why Salford City

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.38 vs 0.68.
  • Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Salford City ↓ / Port Vale → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 14% 1 16% 13% 2 12% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 86%
2+ goals 62%
3+ goals 34%
No goals 14%

Salford City and Port Vale expected goals

Salford City 1.38
Port Vale 0.68

Total expected goals: 2.06

Salford City and Port Vale attack and defence ratings

Salford City

Attack 0.81 -19%
Defence 0.96 -4%

Port Vale

Attack 0.59 -41%
Defence 1.23 +23%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Salford City vs Port Vale: result vs prediction

Salford City 1 – 0 Port Vale

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

League Two

Before and after this match

Salford City vs Port Vale markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Salford City 51.7% 1.93 +1.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 66.1% 1.51 — —
Both teams to score No 61.9% 1.62 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 78.3% 1.28 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 47.5% 2.11 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Salford City51.7%
Draw26.6%
Port Vale21.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.533.9%
Under 2.566.1%
Both teams to scoreYes38.1%
No61.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)78.3%
12 (either side)73.4%
X2 (draw or away)48.3%
Handicap -1Salford City win26.5%
Push (exactly one goal)26.0%
Loss47.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-016.4%
0-014.0%
1-113.2%

Salford City vs Port Vale stats

Salford City and Port Vale recent form

newest first
Salford City WLLLDL
Port Vale LDDLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Salford City and Port Vale going into this match

league record before kick-off

Salford City record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.

Port Vale record

  • They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.

Salford City vs Port Vale head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Salford City wins 1Draws 5Port Vale wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-02-22Port ValeSalford CityLeague Two2-1
2024-08-20Salford CityPort ValeEFL Trophy0-2
2024-08-10Salford CityPort ValeLeague Two0-2
2022-12-20Salford CityPort ValeEFL Trophy1-0
2022-04-05Salford CityPort ValeLeague Two0-1
2022-01-18Port ValeSalford CityLeague Two0-1
2021-03-02Salford CityPort ValeLeague Two1-0
2020-10-17Port ValeSalford CityLeague Two1-0
2020-02-01Port ValeSalford CityLeague Two1-1
2020-01-07Salford CityPort ValeEFL Trophy3-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Salford City vs Port Vale odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 51.0%, draw 25.9%, away 23.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.84 3.50 4.10
1xBet 1.80 3.70 4.04
Bet365 1.85 3.70 3.90
BetVictor 1.83 3.60 4.10
Betano 1.85 3.55 4.00
Betfair 1.75 3.75 4.50
Dafabet 1.86 3.65 4.20
Marathonbet 1.78 3.70 4.05
Pinnacle 1.82 3.91 4.08
SBO 1.80 3.07 3.50
Superbet 1.85 3.55 4.00
Unibet 1.86 3.30 3.75
William Hill 1.83 3.40 4.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.83 ▼ -0.03
X 3.70 ▲ +0.32
2 4.04 ▼ -0.05

11 snapshots recorded, from .