Garuda Lions
Today
League Two · Full time ·Matchday 4

Salford City vs Newport County

2 – 1 Full time

14′Joe Thomas
62′A. OdohK. N'Mai
66′Y. BambaM. Dibley-Dias
68′Ryan Graydon
71′H. Biggins
72′R. GraydonJ. Grant
72′C. EvansK. Evans
79′Alfie Merritt
83′B. WireduE. Bonds
83′J. PowellD. Udoh
83′T. Allen
84′A. MerrittD. Sassi
86′Cameron Norman
90′K. N'Mai

Moor Lane, SalfordReferee: M. Russell

Salford City 52%
Draw 24%
Newport County 24%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

32 Shots 4
7 Shots on target 2
74 Possession % 26
10 Corners 0
11 Fouls 19
2 Offsides 2
1 Saves 4
425 Accurate passes 87

Salford City vs Newport County overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Salford City vs Newport County

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySalford CityDrawNewport County
Model30.4%28.0%41.6%
Market59.5%22.8%17.8%
Final52.2%24.1%23.7%
Edge-29.0%+5.2%+23.8%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Salford City ↓ / Newport County → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 9% 7% 1 7% 13% 9% 2 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 76%
3+ goals 51%
No goals 8%

Salford City and Newport County expected goals

Salford City 1.23
Newport County 1.47

Total expected goals: 2.70

Salford City and Newport County attack and defence ratings

Salford City

Attack 0.71 -29%
Defence 0.98 -2%

Newport County

Attack 1.26 +26%
Defence 1.26 +26%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Salford City vs Newport County: result vs prediction

Salford City 2 – 1 Newport County

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

League Two

Before and after this match

Salford City vs Newport County markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Salford City 52.2% 1.92 -29.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 50.8% 1.97 — —
Both teams to score Yes 55.8% 1.79 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 76.3% 1.31 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 69.6% 1.44 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Salford City52.2%
Draw24.1%
Newport County23.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.550.8%
Under 2.549.2%
Both teams to scoreYes55.8%
No44.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)76.3%
12 (either side)75.9%
X2 (draw or away)47.8%
Handicap -1Salford City win13.3%
Push (exactly one goal)17.1%
Loss69.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.3%
1-28.9%
0-18.6%

Salford City vs Newport County stats

Salford City and Newport County recent form

newest first
Salford City LLLDLD
Newport County DLWDWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Salford City and Newport County going into this match

league record before kick-off

Salford City record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.

Newport County record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • 70% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Salford City vs Newport County head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

7Salford City wins 1Draws 2Newport County wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-17Salford CityNewport CountyLeague Two1-3
2025-08-19Newport CountySalford CityLeague Two0-1
2025-01-28Salford CityNewport CountyLeague Two1-1
2024-10-01Newport CountySalford CityLeague Two3-1
2024-04-20Newport CountySalford CityLeague Two0-1
2023-09-30Salford CityNewport CountyLeague Two2-1
2023-03-04Salford CityNewport CountyLeague Two3-1
2022-08-16Newport CountySalford CityLeague Two2-3
2022-01-08Newport CountySalford CityLeague Two0-2
2021-08-28Salford CityNewport CountyLeague Two3-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Salford City vs Newport County odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 59.5%, draw 22.8%, away 17.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.53 4.10 5.80
1xBet 1.59 4.10 4.99
Bet365 1.57 3.90 5.25
BetVictor 1.57 4.20 5.25
Betano 1.57 4.05 5.50
Betfair 1.57 4.33 5.50
Dafabet 1.58 4.30 5.40
Marathonbet 1.56 4.15 5.10
Pinnacle 1.59 4.27 5.29
SBO 1.47 3.95 5.13
Superbet 1.56 4.20 5.15
Unibet 1.54 4.10 5.50
William Hill 1.57 4.00 5.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.57 ▲ +0.03
X 4.10 ▲ +0.05
2 5.25 ▼ -0.25

5 snapshots recorded, from .