Chesterfield
vs
Gillingham
1 – 1 Full time
| 22′ | J. Koroma | ||
| 29′ | Logan Dobbs | ||
| 31′ | Kyle McFadzean | ||
| 58′ | R. Hale | ||
| 65′ | L. SillahW. Goodwin | ||
| 71′ | R. HaleG. McCleary | ||
| 75′ | R. McKenzieC. Antwi | ||
| 76′ | G. McEachranT. Naylor | ||
| 76′ | L. BonisF. Bryden | ||
| 76′ | J. KoromaL. Marsh | ||
| 90′ | Will Goodwin | ||
| 90′ | R. HuttonJ. Eccleston |
Match stats
| 24 | Shots | 7 |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 62 | Possession % | 38 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 8 | Fouls | 12 |
| 0 | Offsides | 2 |
| 0 | Saves | 8 |
| 456 | Accurate passes | 239 |
Chesterfield vs Gillingham overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Chesterfield vs Gillingham
| Probability | Chesterfield | Draw | Gillingham |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55.8% | 29.9% | 14.3% |
| Market | 59.3% | 24.2% | 16.5% |
| Final | 58.4% | 25.6% | 15.9% |
| Edge | -3.5% | +5.7% | -2.2% |
Why Chesterfield
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.39 vs 0.57.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Chesterfield and Gillingham expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.96
Chesterfield and Gillingham attack and defence ratings
Chesterfield
Gillingham
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Chesterfield vs Gillingham: result vs prediction
Chesterfield 1 – 1 Gillingham
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Chesterfield vs Gillingham markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chesterfield | 58.4% | 1.71 | -3.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 68.7% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 66.1% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.1% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.2% | 2.26 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chesterfield | 58.4% |
| Draw | 25.6% | |
| Gillingham | 15.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 31.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 68.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 33.9% |
| No | 66.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 41.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Chesterfield win | 28.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 27.3% | |
| Loss | 44.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 18.4% |
| 0-0 | 15.2% | |
| 2-0 | 13.5% |
Chesterfield vs Gillingham stats
Chesterfield and Gillingham recent form
| Chesterfield |
LWLLDL |
| Gillingham |
DDLLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Chesterfield and Gillingham going into this match
Chesterfield record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
Gillingham record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
Chesterfield vs Gillingham head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-17 | Chesterfield | Gillingham | League Two | 1-0 |
| 2025-08-19 | Gillingham | Chesterfield | League Two | 4-1 |
| 2025-04-08 | Chesterfield | Gillingham | League Two | 1-1 |
| 2024-08-31 | Gillingham | Chesterfield | League Two | 1-0 |
| 2017-02-14 | Gillingham | Chesterfield | League One | 1-1 |
| 2016-09-27 | Chesterfield | Gillingham | League One | 3-3 |
| 2016-02-27 | Gillingham | Chesterfield | League One | 1-2 |
| 2015-10-10 | Chesterfield | Gillingham | League One | 1-3 |
| 2015-03-17 | Chesterfield | Gillingham | League One | 3-0 |
| 2014-12-20 | Gillingham | Chesterfield | League One | 2-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Chesterfield vs Gillingham odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 59.3%, draw 24.2%, away 16.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.56 | 3.80 | 6.00 |
| 1xBet | 1.58 | 3.82 | 5.58 |
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 3.80 | 5.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.57 | 3.90 | 5.75 |
| Betano | 1.60 | 3.80 | 5.40 |
| Betfair | 1.60 | 3.90 | 5.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.59 | 4.10 | 5.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.56 | 3.82 | 5.65 |
| Pinnacle | 1.60 | 3.96 | 5.78 |
| SBO | 1.56 | 3.53 | 4.94 |
| Superbet | 1.60 | 3.90 | 5.25 |
| Unibet | 1.50 | 3.85 | 5.75 |
| William Hill | 1.57 | 3.90 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
5 snapshots recorded, from .