League Two · Full time ·Matchday 4

Fleetwood Town vs Oldham

1 – 1 Full time

5′Harrison Neal
45′K. Drummond
59′E. NevittM. Fondop
67′R. DelaneyM. Monthe
67′F. FawunmiT. Pett
72′A. MurphyC. McLean
72′W. DaviesR. Coughlan
75′D. AndrewC. Haughey
75′C. EvansA. Loupalo-Bi
77′C. KavanaghR. Woods
88′R. Coughlan

Highbury Stadium, FleetwoodReferee: W. Davis

Fleetwood Town 37%
Draw 28%
Oldham 34%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

16 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 3
59 Possession % 41
7 Corners 4
12 Fouls 7
0 Offsides 2
2 Saves 2
402 Accurate passes 251

Fleetwood Town vs Oldham overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Fleetwood Town vs Oldham

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFleetwood TownDrawOldham
Model40.4%28.8%30.8%
Market36.4%28.2%35.4%
Final37.4%28.4%34.2%
Edge+4.0%+0.6%-4.6%

Confidence: Low

Why Fleetwood Town

  • The market prices Fleetwood Town below the model: +4.0 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Fleetwood Town ↓ / Oldham → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 8% 1 9% 14% 7% 2 7% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 74%
3+ goals 48%
No goals 9%

Fleetwood Town and Oldham expected goals

Fleetwood Town 1.40
Oldham 1.19

Total expected goals: 2.59

Fleetwood Town and Oldham attack and defence ratings

Fleetwood Town

Attack 1.08 +8%
Defence 0.80 -20%

Oldham

Attack 1.26 +26%
Defence 0.94 -6%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Fleetwood Town vs Oldham: result vs prediction

Fleetwood Town 1 – 1 Oldham

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

League Two

Before and after this match

Fleetwood Town vs Oldham markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Fleetwood Town 37.4% 2.67 +4.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 52.2% 1.92 — —
Both teams to score Yes 53.6% 1.86 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.6% 1.40 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 59.6% 1.68 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Fleetwood Town37.4%
Draw28.4%
Oldham34.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.547.8%
Under 2.552.2%
Both teams to scoreYes53.6%
No46.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)65.8%
12 (either side)71.6%
X2 (draw or away)62.6%
Handicap -1Fleetwood Town win19.6%
Push (exactly one goal)20.8%
Loss59.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.8%
1-09.3%
0-08.8%

Fleetwood Town vs Oldham stats

Fleetwood Town and Oldham recent form

newest first
Fleetwood Town DWDWWD
Oldham WLWLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Fleetwood Town and Oldham going into this match

league record before kick-off

Fleetwood Town record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.

Oldham record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.

Fleetwood Town vs Oldham head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Fleetwood Town wins 4Draws 3Oldham wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-14OldhamFleetwood TownLeague Two1-1
2025-08-23Fleetwood TownOldhamLeague Two1-1
2019-11-13Fleetwood TownOldhamEFL Trophy5-2
2017-12-26OldhamFleetwood TownLeague One1-2
2017-09-09Fleetwood TownOldhamLeague One2-2
2017-04-08OldhamFleetwood TownLeague One2-0
2016-12-31Fleetwood TownOldhamLeague One1-0
2016-10-04Fleetwood TownOldhamEFL Trophy0-2
2016-04-16Fleetwood TownOldhamLeague One1-1
2015-08-15OldhamFleetwood TownLeague One1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Fleetwood Town vs Oldham odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 36.4%, draw 28.2%, away 35.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.56 3.35 2.62
1xBet 2.53 3.32 2.61
Bet365 2.60 3.20 2.62
BetVictor 2.60 3.30 2.63
Betano 2.57 3.30 2.65
Betfair 2.50 3.50 2.70
Dafabet 2.60 3.35 2.70
Marathonbet 2.53 3.32 2.61
Pinnacle 2.61 3.48 2.66
SBO 2.48 3.04 2.53
Superbet 2.57 3.25 2.67
Unibet 2.43 3.30 2.80
William Hill 2.50 3.25 2.62

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.56 ▲ +0.16
X 3.30 ▼ -0.03
2 2.63 ▼ -0.17

5 snapshots recorded, from .