Fleetwood Town
vs
Oldham
1 – 1 Full time
| 5′ | Harrison Neal | ||
| 45′ | K. Drummond | ||
| 59′ | E. NevittM. Fondop | ||
| 67′ | R. DelaneyM. Monthe | ||
| 67′ | F. FawunmiT. Pett | ||
| 72′ | A. MurphyC. McLean | ||
| 72′ | W. DaviesR. Coughlan | ||
| 75′ | D. AndrewC. Haughey | ||
| 75′ | C. EvansA. Loupalo-Bi | ||
| 77′ | C. KavanaghR. Woods | ||
| 88′ | R. Coughlan |
Match stats
| 16 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 59 | Possession % | 41 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 7 |
| 0 | Offsides | 2 |
| 2 | Saves | 2 |
| 402 | Accurate passes | 251 |
Fleetwood Town vs Oldham overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Fleetwood Town vs Oldham
| Probability | Fleetwood Town | Draw | Oldham |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40.4% | 28.8% | 30.8% |
| Market | 36.4% | 28.2% | 35.4% |
| Final | 37.4% | 28.4% | 34.2% |
| Edge | +4.0% | +0.6% | -4.6% |
Why Fleetwood Town
- The market prices Fleetwood Town below the model: +4.0 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Fleetwood Town and Oldham expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.59
Fleetwood Town and Oldham attack and defence ratings
Fleetwood Town
Oldham
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Fleetwood Town vs Oldham: result vs prediction
Fleetwood Town 1 – 1 Oldham
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Fleetwood Town vs Oldham markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fleetwood Town | 37.4% | 2.67 | +4.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.2% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.6% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fleetwood Town | 37.4% |
| Draw | 28.4% | |
| Oldham | 34.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.6% |
| No | 46.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 65.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Fleetwood Town win | 19.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.8% | |
| Loss | 59.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.8% |
| 1-0 | 9.3% | |
| 0-0 | 8.8% |
Fleetwood Town vs Oldham stats
Fleetwood Town and Oldham recent form
| DWDWWD | |
| WLWLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Fleetwood Town and Oldham going into this match
Fleetwood Town record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
Oldham record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
Fleetwood Town vs Oldham head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-14 | Oldham | Fleetwood Town | League Two | 1-1 |
| 2025-08-23 | Fleetwood Town | Oldham | League Two | 1-1 |
| 2019-11-13 | Fleetwood Town | Oldham | EFL Trophy | 5-2 |
| 2017-12-26 | Oldham | Fleetwood Town | League One | 1-2 |
| 2017-09-09 | Fleetwood Town | Oldham | League One | 2-2 |
| 2017-04-08 | Oldham | Fleetwood Town | League One | 2-0 |
| 2016-12-31 | Fleetwood Town | Oldham | League One | 1-0 |
| 2016-10-04 | Fleetwood Town | Oldham | EFL Trophy | 0-2 |
| 2016-04-16 | Fleetwood Town | Oldham | League One | 1-1 |
| 2015-08-15 | Oldham | Fleetwood Town | League One | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Fleetwood Town vs Oldham odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 36.4%, draw 28.2%, away 35.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.56 | 3.35 | 2.62 |
| 1xBet | 2.53 | 3.32 | 2.61 |
| Bet365 | 2.60 | 3.20 | 2.62 |
| BetVictor | 2.60 | 3.30 | 2.63 |
| Betano | 2.57 | 3.30 | 2.65 |
| Betfair | 2.50 | 3.50 | 2.70 |
| Dafabet | 2.60 | 3.35 | 2.70 |
| Marathonbet | 2.53 | 3.32 | 2.61 |
| Pinnacle | 2.61 | 3.48 | 2.66 |
| SBO | 2.48 | 3.04 | 2.53 |
| Superbet | 2.57 | 3.25 | 2.67 |
| Unibet | 2.43 | 3.30 | 2.80 |
| William Hill | 2.50 | 3.25 | 2.62 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
5 snapshots recorded, from .