Grimsby
vs
Fleetwood Town
2 – 2 Full time
Grimsby vs Fleetwood Town overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Grimsby vs Fleetwood Town
| Probability | Grimsby | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.3% | 30.6% | 33.1% |
| Market | 50.3% | 27.0% | 22.7% |
| Final | 46.8% | 27.9% | 25.3% |
| Edge | -14.0% | +3.6% | +10.4% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Grimsby and Fleetwood Town expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.35
Grimsby and Fleetwood Town attack and defence ratings
Grimsby
Fleetwood Town
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Grimsby vs Fleetwood Town: result vs prediction
Grimsby 2 – 2 Fleetwood Town
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Grimsby vs Fleetwood Town markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Grimsby | 46.8% | 2.14 | -14.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 58.3% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.9% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.7% | 1.57 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Grimsby | 46.8% |
| Draw | 27.9% | |
| Fleetwood Town | 25.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 58.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.1% |
| No | 50.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Grimsby win | 16.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.2% | |
| Loss | 63.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.5% |
| 0-0 | 10.8% | |
| 1-0 | 10.2% |
Grimsby vs Fleetwood Town stats
Grimsby and Fleetwood Town recent form
| Grimsby |
DWLDLD |
| Fleetwood Town |
WDWWDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Grimsby and Fleetwood Town going into this match
Grimsby record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
Fleetwood Town record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
Grimsby vs Fleetwood Town head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-17 | Grimsby | Fleetwood Town | League Two | 1-0 |
| 2026-01-01 | Fleetwood Town | Grimsby | League Two | 0-1 |
| 2025-02-22 | Grimsby | Fleetwood Town | League Two | 2-1 |
| 2024-08-10 | Fleetwood Town | Grimsby | League Two | 1-0 |
| 2023-07-29 | Fleetwood Town | Grimsby | Friendlies Clubs | 1-0 |
| 2012-03-06 | Fleetwood Town | Grimsby | National League | 2-1 |
| 2011-08-13 | Grimsby | Fleetwood Town | National League | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Grimsby vs Fleetwood Town odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 50.3%, draw 27.0%, away 22.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.90 | 3.45 | 3.95 |
| 1xBet | 1.84 | 3.42 | 4.24 |
| Bet365 | 1.83 | 3.50 | 4.20 |
| BetVictor | 1.80 | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| Betano | 1.87 | 3.45 | 4.10 |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 3.50 | 4.10 |
| Dafabet | 1.89 | 3.55 | 4.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.82 | 3.42 | 4.25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.84 | 3.45 | 4.29 |
| SBO | 1.82 | 3.02 | 3.46 |
| Superbet | 1.88 | 3.45 | 4.00 |
| Unibet | 1.85 | 3.50 | 4.00 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.25 | 4.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .