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League Cup · Full time ·Round of 64

Fleetwood Town vs Shrewsbury

4 – 0 Full time

Highbury Stadium, FleetwoodReferee: Thomas Parsons, England

Fleetwood Town 46%
Draw 29%
Shrewsbury 25%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Fleetwood Town vs Shrewsbury overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Fleetwood Town vs Shrewsbury

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFleetwood TownDrawShrewsbury
Model45.8%33.7%20.6%
Market45.6%28.0%26.4%
Final45.6%29.4%25.0%
Edge+0.2%+5.7%-5.9%

Confidence: Low

Why Fleetwood Town

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.14 vs 0.69.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Fleetwood Town ↓ / Shrewsbury → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 17% 10% 1 17% 14% 2 10% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 83%
2+ goals 56%
3+ goals 28%
No goals 17%

Fleetwood Town and Shrewsbury expected goals

Fleetwood Town 1.14
Shrewsbury 0.69

Total expected goals: 1.83

Fleetwood Town and Shrewsbury attack and defence ratings

Fleetwood Town

Attack 0.80 -20%
Defence 0.77 -23%

Shrewsbury

Attack 0.64 -36%
Defence 1.10 +10%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Fleetwood Town vs Shrewsbury: result vs prediction

Fleetwood Town 4 – 0 Shrewsbury

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Round of 64 fixtures

League Cup

Before and after this match

Fleetwood Town vs Shrewsbury markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Fleetwood Town 45.6% 2.19 +0.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 72.0% 1.39 — —
Both teams to score No 64.8% 1.54 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 75.0% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 54.7% 1.83 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Fleetwood Town45.6%
Draw29.4%
Shrewsbury25.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.528.0%
Under 2.572.0%
Both teams to scoreYes35.2%
No64.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)75.0%
12 (either side)70.6%
X2 (draw or away)54.4%
Handicap -1Fleetwood Town win20.0%
Push (exactly one goal)25.3%
Loss54.7%
Correct score (top 3)0-017.2%
1-017.1%
1-113.8%

Fleetwood Town vs Shrewsbury stats

Fleetwood Town and Shrewsbury recent form

newest first
Fleetwood Town DWWDDD
Shrewsbury LLDLDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Fleetwood Town vs Shrewsbury head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Fleetwood Town wins 2Draws 4Shrewsbury wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-25ShrewsburyFleetwood TownLeague Two2-2
2025-11-22Fleetwood TownShrewsburyLeague Two3-1
2024-01-01ShrewsburyFleetwood TownLeague One3-1
2023-08-26Fleetwood TownShrewsburyLeague One0-1
2023-01-01ShrewsburyFleetwood TownLeague One0-3
2022-10-15Fleetwood TownShrewsburyLeague One0-1
2022-02-05ShrewsburyFleetwood TownLeague One1-1
2021-12-26Fleetwood TownShrewsburyLeague One0-3
2021-03-06ShrewsburyFleetwood TownLeague One0-2
2020-10-27Fleetwood TownShrewsburyLeague One1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Fleetwood Town vs Shrewsbury odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 45.6%, draw 28.0%, away 26.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.08 3.35 3.45
1xBet 2.11 3.38 3.76
Bet365 2.05 3.40 3.50
BetVictor 2.05 3.40 3.60
Betano 2.05 3.35 3.50
Betfair 2.05 3.30 3.60
Dafabet 2.10 3.45 3.65
Marathonbet 2.09 3.38 3.78
Pinnacle 2.06 3.31 3.81
SBO 2.05 2.97 3.06
Superbet 2.07 3.35 3.50
Unibet 2.08 3.30 3.55
William Hill 2.00 3.10 3.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.06 ▲ +0.02
X 3.35 ▼ -0.02
2 3.55 —

9 snapshots recorded, from .