Cardiff
vs
Norwich
1 – 2 Full time
Cardiff vs Norwich overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cardiff vs Norwich
| Probability | Cardiff | Draw | Norwich |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.2% | 22.8% | 28.0% |
| Market | 33.7% | 25.2% | 41.1% |
| Final | 37.6% | 24.6% | 37.8% |
| Edge | +15.5% | -2.4% | -13.1% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Cardiff and Norwich expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.64
Cardiff and Norwich attack and defence ratings
Cardiff
Norwich
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Cardiff vs Norwich: result vs prediction
Cardiff 1 – 2 Norwich
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Round of 64 fixtures
- Doncaster v Middlesbrough — match page
- Watford vs Peterborough — team news & stats
- Southampton vs West Ham
- Ipswich v Leicester — match page
- Blackburn vs Sheffield Utd — team news & stats
- Sheffield Wednesday vs Wolverhampton Wanderers
- Stoke City v Hull City — match page
- Barnsley vs Crewe — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Cardiff vs Norwich markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Norwich | 37.8% | 2.65 | -13.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.4% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.9% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cardiff | 37.6% |
| Draw | 24.6% | |
| Norwich | 37.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 29.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.9% |
| No | 30.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 62.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Norwich win | 13.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 14.6% | |
| Loss | 72.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.4% |
| 2-1 | 8.9% | |
| 2-2 | 6.9% |
Cardiff vs Norwich stats
Cardiff vs Norwich head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-03 | Norwich | Cardiff | Championship | 4-2 |
| 2024-11-02 | Cardiff | Norwich | Championship | 2-1 |
| 2024-02-17 | Norwich | Cardiff | Championship | 4-1 |
| 2023-11-11 | Cardiff | Norwich | Championship | 2-3 |
| 2023-02-25 | Norwich | Cardiff | Championship | 2-0 |
| 2022-07-30 | Cardiff | Norwich | Championship | 1-0 |
| 2021-01-16 | Cardiff | Norwich | Championship | 1-2 |
| 2020-12-19 | Norwich | Cardiff | Championship | 2-0 |
| 2018-08-28 | Cardiff | Norwich | League Cup | 1-3 |
| 2018-04-14 | Norwich | Cardiff | Championship | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Cardiff vs Norwich odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 33.7%, draw 25.2%, away 41.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.80 | 3.75 | 2.24 |
| 1xBet | 2.81 | 3.76 | 2.41 |
| Bet365 | 2.75 | 3.90 | 2.30 |
| BetVictor | 2.80 | 3.75 | 2.30 |
| Betano | 2.80 | 3.60 | 2.30 |
| Betfair | 2.75 | 3.60 | 2.30 |
| Dafabet | 2.85 | 3.75 | 2.35 |
| Marathonbet | 2.82 | 3.76 | 2.39 |
| Pinnacle | 2.77 | 3.86 | 2.39 |
| SBO | 2.80 | 3.46 | 2.16 |
| Superbet | 2.77 | 3.60 | 2.30 |
| Unibet | 2.88 | 3.50 | 2.35 |
| William Hill | 2.70 | 3.50 | 2.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .