Barnsley
vs
Crewe
3 – 2 Full time
Barnsley vs Crewe overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Barnsley vs Crewe
| Probability | Barnsley | Draw | Crewe |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 23.4% | 34.4% | 42.2% |
| Market | 55.9% | 23.6% | 20.5% |
| Final | 47.8% | 26.3% | 25.9% |
| Edge | -32.4% | +10.8% | +21.6% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Barnsley and Crewe expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.83
Barnsley and Crewe attack and defence ratings
Barnsley
Crewe
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Barnsley vs Crewe: result vs prediction
Barnsley 3 – 2 Crewe
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Round of 64 fixtures
Before and after this match
Barnsley vs Crewe markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Barnsley | 47.8% | 2.09 | -32.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 72.2% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 63.9% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 76.9% | 1.30 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Barnsley | 47.8% |
| Draw | 26.3% | |
| Crewe | 25.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 27.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 72.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 36.1% |
| No | 63.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Barnsley win | 7.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15.9% | |
| Loss | 76.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 17.3% |
| 0-1 | 16.1% | |
| 1-1 | 14.2% |
Barnsley vs Crewe stats
Barnsley vs Crewe head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-07-29 | Barnsley | Crewe | Friendlies Clubs | 2-1 |
| 2022-11-26 | Barnsley | Crewe | FA Cup | 3-0 |
| 2022-07-09 | Barnsley | Crewe | Friendlies Clubs | 0-0 |
| 2020-08-22 | Crewe | Barnsley | Friendlies Clubs | 0-2 |
| 2020-01-05 | Crewe | Barnsley | FA Cup | 1-3 |
| 2016-02-27 | Crewe | Barnsley | League One | 1-2 |
| 2015-10-10 | Barnsley | Crewe | League One | 1-2 |
| 2015-02-21 | Barnsley | Crewe | League One | 2-0 |
| 2014-08-16 | Crewe | Barnsley | League One | 1-2 |
| 2014-08-12 | Barnsley | Crewe | League Cup | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Barnsley vs Crewe odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 55.9%, draw 23.6%, away 20.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.68 | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| 1xBet | 1.72 | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| Bet365 | 1.70 | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| BetVictor | 1.70 | 4.10 | 4.60 |
| Betano | 1.72 | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| Betfair | 1.67 | 4.00 | 4.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.70 | 4.20 | 4.70 |
| Marathonbet | 1.70 | 4.20 | 4.70 |
| Pinnacle | 1.69 | 4.00 | 4.69 |
| SBO | 1.60 | 3.62 | 4.00 |
| Superbet | 1.67 | 4.00 | 4.45 |
| Unibet | 1.64 | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| William Hill | 1.65 | 3.80 | 4.33 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .