League One
·
Full time
·Matchday 2
Doncaster
vs
Barnsley
0 – 0 Full time
Doncaster
48%
Draw
31%
Barnsley
21%
Doncaster vs Barnsley overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Doncaster vs Barnsley
| Probability | Doncaster | Draw | Barnsley |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48.4% | 30.6% | 21.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 48.4% | 30.6% | 21.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Doncaster
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.35 vs 0.80.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
87%
2+ goals
65%
3+ goals
36%
No goals
13%
Doncaster and Barnsley expected goals
Doncaster
1.35
Barnsley
0.80
Total expected goals: 2.15
Doncaster and Barnsley attack and defence ratings
Doncaster
Attack
0.91 -9%
Defence
0.94 -6%
Barnsley
Attack
0.74 -26%
Defence
1.01 +1%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Doncaster vs Barnsley: result vs prediction
Doncaster 0 – 0 Barnsley
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Doncaster vs Barnsley markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Doncaster | 48.4% | 2.06 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 63.5% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.0% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Doncaster | 48.4% |
| Draw | 30.6% | |
| Barnsley | 21.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 63.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.2% |
| No | 57.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Doncaster win | 23.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.6% | |
| Loss | 51.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 14.4% |
| 1-1 | 13.8% | |
| 0-0 | 12.9% |
Doncaster vs Barnsley stats
Doncaster and Barnsley recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Doncaster and Barnsley going into this match
Doncaster record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Barnsley record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- 58% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Doncaster vs Barnsley head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
1Doncaster wins
0Draws
1Barnsley wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | Barnsley | Doncaster | League One | 0-1 |
| 2025-11-08 | Doncaster | Barnsley | League One | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.