Ipswich
vs
Leicester
3 – 1 Full time
Ipswich vs Leicester overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ipswich vs Leicester
| Probability | Ipswich | Draw | Leicester |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47.5% | 30.4% | 22.1% |
| Market | 63.5% | 20.9% | 15.7% |
| Final | 59.5% | 23.2% | 17.3% |
| Edge | -16.0% | +9.5% | +6.5% |
Why Ipswich
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.35 vs 0.85.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Ipswich and Leicester expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.20
Ipswich and Leicester attack and defence ratings
Ipswich
Leicester
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Ipswich vs Leicester: result vs prediction
Ipswich 3 – 1 Leicester
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Round of 64 fixtures
Before and after this match
Ipswich vs Leicester markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ipswich | 59.5% | 1.68 | -16.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 56.2% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.7% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ipswich | 59.5% |
| Draw | 23.2% | |
| Leicester | 17.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 62.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43.8% |
| No | 56.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 40.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ipswich win | 23.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.0% | |
| Loss | 53.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.9% |
| 1-0 | 13.7% | |
| 0-0 | 12.2% |
Ipswich vs Leicester stats
Ipswich vs Leicester head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | Ipswich | Leicester | England Championship | 1-1 |
| 2025-12-13 | Leicester | Ipswich | England Championship | 3-1 |
| 2025-05-18 | Leicester | Ipswich | Premier League | 2-0 |
| 2024-11-02 | Ipswich | Leicester | Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2024-01-22 | Leicester | Ipswich | Championship | 1-1 |
| 2023-12-26 | Ipswich | Leicester | Championship | 1-1 |
| 2014-02-22 | Leicester | Ipswich | Championship | 3-0 |
| 2013-11-23 | Ipswich | Leicester | Championship | 1-2 |
| 2013-03-02 | Ipswich | Leicester | Championship | 1-0 |
| 2012-11-17 | Leicester | Ipswich | Championship | 6-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Ipswich vs Leicester odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 63.5%, draw 20.9%, away 15.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.51 | 4.33 | 5.60 |
| 1xBet | 1.50 | 4.65 | 6.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.48 | 4.50 | 6.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.45 | 4.75 | 6.50 |
| Betano | 1.50 | 4.75 | 6.60 |
| Betfair | 1.44 | 4.40 | 6.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.52 | 4.60 | 6.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.49 | 4.65 | 6.55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.47 | 4.69 | 6.58 |
| SBO | 1.42 | 4.24 | 5.90 |
| Superbet | 1.48 | 4.45 | 5.75 |
| Unibet | 1.50 | 4.40 | 6.00 |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 4.00 | 5.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .