Manchester United
vs
Ipswich
5 – 2 Full time
Manchester United vs Ipswich overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Manchester United vs Ipswich
| Probability | Manchester United | Draw | Ipswich |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.5% | 26.7% | 33.8% |
| Market | 66.4% | 19.9% | 13.7% |
| Final | 59.7% | 21.6% | 18.7% |
| Edge | -26.9% | +6.8% | +20.2% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Manchester United and Ipswich expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.08
Manchester United and Ipswich attack and defence ratings
Manchester United
Ipswich
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Manchester United vs Ipswich: result vs prediction
Manchester United 5 – 2 Ipswich
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Manchester United vs Ipswich markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Manchester United | 59.7% | 1.68 | -26.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.6% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.3% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.0% | 1.64 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Manchester United | 59.7% |
| Draw | 21.6% | |
| Ipswich | 18.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.6% |
| No | 35.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 40.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Manchester United win | 20.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.4% | |
| Loss | 61.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.1% |
| 2-1 | 8.7% | |
| 1-2 | 8.0% |
Manchester United vs Ipswich stats
Manchester United and Ipswich recent form
| Manchester United |
LWWDWW |
| Ipswich |
WWWDDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Manchester United vs Ipswich head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-26 | Manchester United | Ipswich | Premier League | 3-2 |
| 2024-11-24 | Ipswich | Manchester United | Premier League | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Manchester United vs Ipswich odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 66.4%, draw 20.1%, away 13.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.46 | 4.98 | 7.60 |
| Bet365 | 1.42 | 4.50 | 7.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.40 | 4.60 | 7.00 |
| Betano | 1.44 | 4.65 | 7.10 |
| Betfair | 1.36 | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.45 | 4.80 | 7.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.44 | 4.90 | 7.50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.44 | 4.97 | 6.99 |
| SBO | 1.37 | 4.26 | 6.09 |
| Unibet | 1.41 | 4.80 | 7.50 |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 4.50 | 6.50 |
| winamax_fr | 1.34 | 4.20 | 5.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .