Garuda Lions
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Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 2

Coventry vs Hull City

0 – 1 Full time

Coventry Building Society Arena, CoventryReferee: Josh Smith, England

Coventry 51%
Draw 27%
Hull City 22%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Coventry vs Hull City overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Coventry vs Hull City

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCoventryDrawHull City
Model52.7%27.4%19.8%
Market50.3%27.2%22.5%
Final50.9%27.3%21.9%
Edge+2.5%+0.2%-2.7%

Confidence: Low

Why Coventry

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.61 vs 0.98.
  • The market prices Coventry below the model: +2.5 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Coventry ↓ / Hull City → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 1 10% 13% 2 10% 10% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 76%
3+ goals 50%
No goals 9%

Coventry and Hull City expected goals

Coventry 1.61
Hull City 0.98

Total expected goals: 2.59

Coventry and Hull City attack and defence ratings

Coventry

Attack 1.52 +52%
Defence 0.85 -15%

Hull City

Attack 0.94 -6%
Defence 0.69 -31%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Coventry vs Hull City: result vs prediction

Coventry 0 – 1 Hull City

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 2 fixtures

Premier League

Before and after this match

Coventry vs Hull City markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Coventry 50.9% 1.97 +2.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 50.0% 2.00 — —
Both teams to score Yes 52.6% 1.90 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 78.1% 1.28 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 47.5% 2.10 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Coventry50.9%
Draw27.3%
Hull City21.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.550.0%
Under 2.550.0%
Both teams to scoreYes52.6%
No47.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)78.1%
12 (either side)72.7%
X2 (draw or away)49.1%
Handicap -1Coventry win29.7%
Push (exactly one goal)22.8%
Loss47.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.1%
1-010.0%
2-010.0%

Coventry vs Hull City stats

Coventry and Hull City recent form

newest first
Coventry WLWWWD
Hull City DWWWDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Coventry vs Hull City head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Coventry wins 5Draws 3Hull City wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-06Hull CityCoventryEngland Championship0-0
2025-08-09CoventryHull CityEngland Championship0-0
2025-04-14Hull CityCoventryChampionship1-1
2024-12-14CoventryHull CityChampionship2-1
2024-04-24CoventryHull CityChampionship2-3
2023-09-15Hull CityCoventryChampionship1-1
2023-03-11CoventryHull CityChampionship1-1
2022-08-27Hull CityCoventryChampionship3-2
2022-03-16CoventryHull CityChampionship0-2
2021-10-30Hull CityCoventryChampionship0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Coventry vs Hull City odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 50.3%, draw 27.1%, away 22.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.95 3.56 4.52
Bet365 1.90 3.50 4.20
BetVictor 1.85 3.50 4.00
Betano 1.87 3.50 4.40
Betfair 1.87 3.60 4.40
Dafabet 1.93 3.60 4.10
Marathonbet 1.92 3.50 4.45
Pinnacle 1.91 3.47 4.49
SBO 1.86 3.21 3.57
Superbet 1.90 3.65 4.15
Unibet 1.89 3.50 4.25
William Hill 1.85 3.50 3.90
winamax_fr 1.78 3.35 3.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.90 ▲ +0.11
X 3.50 ▲ +0.10
2 4.22 ▲ +0.87

13 snapshots recorded, from .