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Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 3

Hull City vs Aston Villa

0 – 0 Full time

39′Semi Ajayi
63′E. StroudS. Thomas
64′L. CoyleB. Norton-Cuffy
67′Lucas Gourna-Douath
71′N. MendyL. Herrington
75′I. MaatsenM. Ruggeri
75′E. BuendiaA. Garnacho
75′G. HemmingsAlysson
81′L. Gourna-DouathJ. Hjerto-Dahl
82′M. BelloumiM. Cho
85′M. CashA. Wan-Bissaka
85′N. JacksonT. Abraham

MKM Stadium, HullReferee: Michael Oliver, England

Hull City 29%
Draw 27%
Aston Villa 44%

Confidence: Medium  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

11 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 1
26 Possession % 74
3 Corners 4
10 Fouls 5
2 Offsides 2
1 Saves 4
167 Accurate passes 624

Hull City vs Aston Villa overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Hull City vs Aston Villa

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityHull CityDrawAston Villa
Model47.2%30.0%22.7%
Market23.2%26.1%50.7%
Final29.2%27.1%43.7%
Edge+24.0%+4.0%-28.0%

Confidence: Medium

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Hull City ↓ / Aston Villa → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 1 11% 14% 2 10% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 72%
3+ goals 44%
No goals 11%

Hull City and Aston Villa expected goals

Hull City 1.40
Aston Villa 0.96

Total expected goals: 2.36

Hull City and Aston Villa attack and defence ratings

Hull City

Attack 0.92 -8%
Defence 0.63 -37%

Aston Villa

Attack 1.24 +24%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Hull City vs Aston Villa: result vs prediction

Hull City 0 – 0 Aston Villa

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 3 fixtures

Premier League

Before and after this match

Hull City vs Aston Villa markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Aston Villa 43.7% 2.29 -28.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 56.1% 1.78 — —
Both teams to score No 50.6% 1.98 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.9% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 77.3% 1.29 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Hull City29.2%
Draw27.1%
Aston Villa43.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.543.9%
Under 2.556.1%
Both teams to scoreYes49.4%
No50.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)56.3%
12 (either side)72.9%
X2 (draw or away)70.8%
Handicap -1Aston Villa win8.6%
Push (exactly one goal)14.1%
Loss77.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.3%
1-011.1%
0-010.6%

Hull City vs Aston Villa stats

Hull City and Aston Villa recent form

newest first
Hull City WDWWWD
Aston Villa LLWWWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Hull City vs Aston Villa head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

1Hull City wins 4Draws 3Aston Villa wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2019-01-19Aston VillaHull CityChampionship2-2
2018-08-06Hull CityAston VillaChampionship1-3
2018-03-31Hull CityAston VillaChampionship0-0
2017-08-05Aston VillaHull CityChampionship1-1
2015-02-10Hull CityAston VillaPremier League2-0
2014-08-31Aston VillaHull CityPremier League2-1
2014-05-03Aston VillaHull CityPremier League3-1
2013-10-05Hull CityAston VillaPremier League0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Hull City vs Aston Villa odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 23.1%, draw 26.2%, away 50.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 4.00 3.60 1.85
1xBet 4.22 3.81 1.94
Bet365 4.10 3.60 1.85
BetVictor 4.10 3.60 1.87
Betano 4.20 3.60 1.87
Betfair 4.00 3.70 1.87
Dafabet 4.20 3.65 1.90
Marathonbet 4.15 3.75 1.91
Pinnacle 4.17 3.75 1.91
SBO 3.55 3.23 1.86
Superbet 4.10 3.65 1.90
Unibet 4.10 3.60 1.88
William Hill 3.90 3.50 1.85
onexbet 4.92 4.17 1.75

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 4.12 ▼ -0.79
X 3.67 ▼ -0.50
2 1.89 ▲ +0.14

24 snapshots recorded, from .