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Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 3

Fulham vs Crystal Palace

2 – 3 Full time

11′J. King
35′T. Mitchell
42′C. Palacios
46′E. NketiahJ. Larsen
54′T. Mitchell
61′C. PalaciosS. Berge
74′T. MitchellB. Chilwell
74′Q. TimberW. Hughes
77′B. Chilwell
79′A. RobinsonR. Sessegnon
79′S. CharlesE. Smith Rowe
79′O. BobbH. Larsson
83′A. IwobiRodrigo Muniz
89′Y. PinoO. Mingueza
89′D. KamadaD. Osorio

Craven Cottage, LondonReferee: Samuel Barrott, England

Fulham 44%
Draw 28%
Crystal Palace 28%

Confidence: High  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

25 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 5
64 Possession % 36
7 Corners 1
6 Fouls 7
1 Offsides 6
2 Saves 5
602 Accurate passes 297

Fulham vs Crystal Palace overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Fulham vs Crystal Palace

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFulhamDrawCrystal Palace
Model49.3%24.4%26.3%
Market42.7%28.6%28.7%
Final44.4%27.5%28.1%
Edge+6.6%-4.2%-2.4%

Confidence: High

Why Fulham

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.91 vs 1.44.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Fulham below the model: +6.6 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Fulham ↓ / Crystal Palace → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 11% 7% 2 6% 9% 7% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 87%
3+ goals 67%
No goals 5%

Fulham and Crystal Palace expected goals

Fulham 1.91
Crystal Palace 1.44

Total expected goals: 3.35

Fulham and Crystal Palace attack and defence ratings

Fulham

Attack 1.06 +6%
Defence 1.04 +4%

Crystal Palace

Attack 1.13 +13%
Defence 1.17 +17%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Fulham vs Crystal Palace: result vs prediction

Fulham 2 – 3 Crystal Palace

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 3 fixtures

Premier League

Before and after this match

Fulham vs Crystal Palace markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Fulham 44.4% 2.25 +6.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 66.9% 1.49 — —
Both teams to score Yes 67.5% 1.48 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.5% 1.38 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 50.7% 1.97 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Fulham44.4%
Draw27.5%
Crystal Palace28.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.566.9%
Under 2.533.1%
Both teams to scoreYes67.5%
No32.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)71.9%
12 (either side)72.5%
X2 (draw or away)55.6%
Handicap -1Fulham win29.4%
Push (exactly one goal)19.9%
Loss50.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.6%
2-19.2%
2-26.7%

Fulham vs Crystal Palace stats

Fulham and Crystal Palace recent form

newest first
Fulham LWLWDL
Crystal Palace LLWLDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Fulham vs Crystal Palace head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Fulham wins 4Draws 4Crystal Palace wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-07FulhamCrystal PalaceFriendlies Clubs1-2
2026-01-01Crystal PalaceFulhamPremier League1-1
2025-12-07FulhamCrystal PalacePremier League1-2
2025-03-29FulhamCrystal PalaceEngland FA Cup0-3
2025-02-22FulhamCrystal PalacePremier League0-2
2024-11-09Crystal PalaceFulhamPremier League0-2
2024-04-27FulhamCrystal PalacePremier League1-1
2023-09-23Crystal PalaceFulhamPremier League0-0
2023-05-20FulhamCrystal PalacePremier League2-2
2022-12-26Crystal PalaceFulhamPremier League0-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Fulham vs Crystal Palace odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 41.8%, draw 28.4%, away 29.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.26 3.35 3.05
1xBet 2.32 3.42 3.44
Bet365 2.25 3.30 3.30
BetVictor 2.20 3.40 3.25
Betano 2.30 3.35 3.15
Betfair 2.30 3.40 3.20
Dafabet 2.35 3.35 3.15
Marathonbet 2.28 3.35 3.40
Pinnacle 2.25 3.38 3.40
SBO 2.28 3.05 2.75
Superbet 2.32 3.35 3.20
Unibet 2.32 3.40 3.05
William Hill 2.25 3.20 3.20
unibet_fr 2.05 3.20 3.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.25 ▲ +0.20
X 3.37 ▲ +0.17
2 3.35 ▲ +0.35

23 snapshots recorded, from .