Sunderland
vs
Fulham
1 – 0 Full time
Sunderland vs Fulham overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sunderland vs Fulham
| Probability | Sunderland | Draw | Fulham |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48.7% | 26.3% | 25.1% |
| Market | 38.7% | 28.7% | 32.7% |
| Final | 41.2% | 28.1% | 30.8% |
| Edge | +10.0% | -2.4% | -7.6% |
Why Sunderland
- The market prices Sunderland below the model: +10.0 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sunderland and Fulham expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.94
Sunderland and Fulham attack and defence ratings
Sunderland
Fulham
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Sunderland vs Fulham: result vs prediction
Sunderland 1 – 0 Fulham
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sunderland vs Fulham markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sunderland | 41.2% | 2.43 | +10.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.0% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.3% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sunderland | 41.2% |
| Draw | 28.1% | |
| Fulham | 30.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 41.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.3% |
| No | 38.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sunderland win | 22.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.4% | |
| Loss | 58.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.2% |
| 2-1 | 9.6% | |
| 2-0 | 7.6% |
Sunderland vs Fulham stats
Sunderland and Fulham recent form
| Sunderland |
LWWDDL |
| Fulham |
WLWDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sunderland vs Fulham head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-22 | Sunderland | Fulham | Premier League | 1-3 |
| 2025-11-22 | Fulham | Sunderland | Premier League | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Sunderland vs Fulham odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 38.5%, draw 28.8%, away 32.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.52 | 3.39 | 3.08 |
| Bet365 | 2.40 | 3.30 | 2.70 |
| BetVictor | 2.38 | 3.25 | 2.90 |
| Betano | 2.60 | 3.25 | 2.80 |
| Betfair | 2.40 | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| Dafabet | 2.49 | 3.35 | 2.95 |
| Marathonbet | 2.48 | 3.34 | 3.04 |
| Pinnacle | 2.45 | 3.35 | 3.06 |
| SBO | 2.28 | 3.04 | 2.77 |
| Unibet | 2.48 | 3.30 | 2.90 |
| William Hill | 2.40 | 3.20 | 2.90 |
| nordicbet | 2.55 | 3.35 | 2.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .