Garuda Lions
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Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 2

Bournemouth vs Everton

1 – 1 Full time

Vitality Stadium, BournemouthReferee: Chris Kavanagh, England

Bournemouth 46%
Draw 26%
Everton 28%

Confidence: High  ·  blended with market odds

Bournemouth vs Everton overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Bournemouth vs Everton

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBournemouthDrawEverton
Model45.3%24.0%30.7%
Market46.3%27.1%26.6%
Final46.1%26.3%27.6%
Edge-1.0%-3.2%+4.1%

Confidence: High

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Bournemouth ↓ / Everton → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 10% 7% 2 5% 9% 7% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 89%
3+ goals 71%
No goals 4%

Bournemouth and Everton expected goals

Bournemouth 1.91
Everton 1.65

Total expected goals: 3.55

Bournemouth and Everton attack and defence ratings

Bournemouth

Attack 1.15 +15%
Defence 1.15 +15%

Everton

Attack 1.17 +17%
Defence 1.08 +8%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Bournemouth vs Everton: result vs prediction

Bournemouth 1 – 1 Everton

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 2 fixtures

Premier League

Before and after this match

Bournemouth vs Everton markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Bournemouth 46.1% 2.17 -1.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 70.7% 1.41 — —
Both teams to score Yes 71.2% 1.40 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.7% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 55.0% 1.82 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Bournemouth46.1%
Draw26.3%
Everton27.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.570.7%
Under 2.529.3%
Both teams to scoreYes71.2%
No28.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)72.4%
12 (either side)73.7%
X2 (draw or away)53.9%
Handicap -1Bournemouth win26.3%
Push (exactly one goal)18.7%
Loss55.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.8%
2-18.6%
2-27.1%

Bournemouth vs Everton stats

Bournemouth and Everton recent form

newest first
Bournemouth LDDWWD
Everton WWLLDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Bournemouth vs Everton head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

7Bournemouth wins 0Draws 3Everton wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-10EvertonBournemouthPremier League1-2
2025-12-02BournemouthEvertonPremier League0-1
2025-07-26EvertonBournemouthPremier League - Summer Series0-3
2025-02-08EvertonBournemouthEngland FA Cup0-2
2025-01-04BournemouthEvertonPremier League1-0
2024-08-31EvertonBournemouthPremier League2-3
2024-03-30BournemouthEvertonPremier League2-1
2023-10-07EvertonBournemouthPremier League3-0
2023-05-28EvertonBournemouthPremier League1-0
2022-11-12BournemouthEvertonPremier League3-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Bournemouth vs Everton odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 46.4%, draw 27.2%, away 26.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.11 3.68 3.70
Bet365 2.05 3.50 3.60
BetVictor 2.00 3.50 3.50
Betano 2.05 3.50 3.60
Betfair 2.05 3.50 3.60
Dafabet 2.11 3.50 3.55
Marathonbet 2.08 3.62 3.64
Pinnacle 2.07 3.57 3.68
SBO 2.04 3.13 3.13
Superbet 2.10 3.55 3.55
Unibet 2.05 3.55 3.55
William Hill 2.05 3.40 3.40
onexbet 2.09 3.70 3.74

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.05 ▲ +0.20
X 3.50 ▼ -0.30
2 3.58 ▼ -0.32

17 snapshots recorded, from .