Garuda Lions
Today
Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 3

Everton vs Manchester United

2 – 2 Full time

13′Harrison Armstrong
34′Brennan Johnson
46′B. Mbeumo
62′Luke Shaw
64′Merlin Röhl
66′B. JohnsonJ. Grealish
70′M. RashfordP. Dorgu
70′M. CunhaB. Sesko
75′M. RohlH. Hackney
77′J. GarnerA. Maitland-Niles
79′Harry Maguire
81′Diogo Dalot
83′T. George
84′D. DalotL. Yoro
84′K. MainooAndrey Santos
88′B. Sesko
90′L. ShawN. Mazraoui
90′A. Maitland-Niles

Hill Dickinson Stadium, LiverpoolReferee: John Brooks, England

Everton 30%
Draw 25%
Manchester United 45%

Confidence: High  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

18 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 3
45 Possession % 55
4 Corners 3
7 Fouls 11
3 Offsides 1
1 Saves 4
361 Accurate passes 458

Everton vs Manchester United overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Everton vs Manchester United

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityEvertonDrawManchester United
Model35.7%22.8%41.4%
Market27.6%26.3%46.1%
Final29.7%25.4%44.9%
Edge+8.1%-3.5%-4.6%

Confidence: High

Why Manchester United

  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Everton ↓ / Manchester Uni → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 8% 8% 5% 4% 2 7% 7% 5% 4% 3 5% 5% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 92%
3+ goals 76%
No goals 3%

Everton and Manchester United expected goals

Everton 1.83
Manchester United 2.07

Total expected goals: 3.91

Everton and Manchester United attack and defence ratings

Everton

Attack 1.17 +17%
Defence 1.13 +13%

Manchester United

Attack 1.50 +50%
Defence 1.03 +3%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Everton vs Manchester United: result vs prediction

Everton 2 – 2 Manchester United

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 3 fixtures

Premier League

Before and after this match

Everton vs Manchester United markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Manchester United 44.9% 2.23 -4.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 76.2% 1.31 — —
Both teams to score Yes 75.8% 1.32 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.6% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 58.6% 1.71 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Everton29.7%
Draw25.4%
Manchester United44.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.576.2%
Under 2.523.8%
Both teams to scoreYes75.8%
No24.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)55.1%
12 (either side)74.6%
X2 (draw or away)70.3%
Handicap -1Manchester United win24.0%
Push (exactly one goal)17.4%
Loss58.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-18.4%
1-27.6%
2-27.3%

Everton vs Manchester United stats

Everton and Manchester United recent form

newest first
Everton DWWLLD
Manchester United WLWWDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Everton vs Manchester United head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1Everton wins 2Draws 7Manchester United wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-23EvertonManchester UnitedPremier League0-1
2025-11-24Manchester UnitedEvertonPremier League0-1
2025-08-03Manchester UnitedEvertonPremier League - Summer Series2-2
2025-02-22EvertonManchester UnitedPremier League2-2
2024-12-01Manchester UnitedEvertonPremier League4-0
2024-03-09Manchester UnitedEvertonPremier League2-0
2023-11-26EvertonManchester UnitedPremier League0-3
2023-04-08Manchester UnitedEvertonPremier League2-0
2023-01-06Manchester UnitedEvertonFA Cup3-1
2022-10-09EvertonManchester UnitedPremier League1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Everton vs Manchester United odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 28.8%, draw 26.4%, away 44.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 3.20 3.50 2.10
1xBet 3.56 3.74 2.14
Bet365 3.50 3.60 2.05
BetVictor 3.30 3.80 2.05
Betano 3.30 3.60 2.15
Betfair 3.40 3.60 2.10
Dafabet 3.30 3.60 2.17
Marathonbet 3.50 3.68 2.11
Pinnacle 3.50 3.67 2.10
SBO 2.84 3.16 2.16
Superbet 3.30 3.55 2.20
Unibet 3.35 3.50 2.12
William Hill 3.30 3.50 2.10
unibet_fr 2.65 3.20 2.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.50 ▲ +0.85
X 3.67 ▲ +0.47
2 2.10 ▼ -0.20

25 snapshots recorded, from .