Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 3

Ipswich vs Liverpool

0 – 2 Full time

6′A. Isak
9′A. Isak
10′Alexis Mac Allister
41′Julio Enciso
52′Jérémy Jacquet
57′Miloš Kerkez
64′A. IsakR. Gravenberch
64′V. MunozB. Barcola
66′EmersonnZ. Flemming
66′D. MaedaJ. Clarke
78′E. PalaciosA. Ouattara
79′I. FatawuK. McAteer
84′A. Mac AllisterT. Nyoni
90′F. WirtzL. Koumas

Portman Road Stadium, IpswichReferee: Darren England, England

Ipswich 29%
Draw 20%
Liverpool 51%

Confidence: Medium  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

14 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 7
45 Possession % 55
4 Corners 3
6 Fouls 13
5 Offsides 4
5 Saves 5
357 Accurate passes 471

Ipswich vs Liverpool overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Ipswich vs Liverpool

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityIpswichDrawLiverpool
Model64.1%18.6%17.2%
Market17.1%20.1%62.8%
Final28.8%19.7%51.4%
Edge+47.1%-1.5%-45.6%

Confidence: Medium

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Ipswich ↓ / Liverpool → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 2 6% 8% 6% 3 5% 8% 5% 4+ 7% 10% 7%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 93%
3+ goals 79%
No goals 2%

Ipswich and Liverpool expected goals

Ipswich 2.62
Liverpool 1.44

Total expected goals: 4.07

Ipswich and Liverpool attack and defence ratings

Ipswich

Attack 1.29 +29%
Defence 1.07 +7%

Liverpool

Attack 1.10 +10%
Defence 1.32 +32%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Ipswich vs Liverpool: result vs prediction

Ipswich 0 – 2 Liverpool

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 3 fixtures

Premier League

Before and after this match

Ipswich vs Liverpool markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Liverpool 51.4% 1.94 -45.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 79.0% 1.27 — —
Both teams to score Yes 72.4% 1.38 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 80.3% 1.25 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 82.8% 1.21 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Ipswich28.8%
Draw19.7%
Liverpool51.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.579.0%
Under 2.521.0%
Both teams to scoreYes72.4%
No27.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)48.6%
12 (either side)80.3%
X2 (draw or away)71.2%
Handicap -1Liverpool win7.6%
Push (exactly one goal)9.6%
Loss82.8%
Correct score (top 3)2-18.2%
3-17.6%
1-16.9%

Ipswich vs Liverpool stats

Ipswich and Liverpool recent form

newest first
Ipswich LWWWDD
Liverpool DDDLDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Ipswich vs Liverpool head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0Ipswich wins 0Draws 2Liverpool wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-01-25LiverpoolIpswichPremier League4-1
2024-08-17IpswichLiverpoolPremier League0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Ipswich vs Liverpool odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 17.2%, draw 20.1%, away 62.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 5.75 4.70 1.46
1xBet 5.94 4.88 1.56
Bet365 5.25 4.75 1.50
BetVictor 5.75 4.75 1.50
Betano 5.50 4.80 1.57
Betfair 5.50 4.75 1.50
Dafabet 5.60 4.90 1.53
Marathonbet 5.95 4.85 1.52
Pinnacle 5.88 4.71 1.53
SBO 4.84 4.13 1.47
Superbet 5.20 4.65 1.57
Unibet 5.60 4.80 1.52
William Hill 5.00 4.60 1.50
onexbet 5.33 4.21 1.69

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 5.60 ▲ +0.27
X 4.75 ▲ +0.54
2 1.52 ▼ -0.17

22 snapshots recorded, from .