Fulham
vs
AFC Wimbledon
3 – 0 Full time
Fulham vs AFC Wimbledon overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Fulham vs AFC Wimbledon
| Probability | Fulham | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52.7% | 27.8% | 19.5% |
| Market | 80.9% | 12.8% | 6.3% |
| Final | 73.9% | 16.5% | 9.6% |
| Edge | -28.2% | +15.0% | +13.2% |
Why Fulham
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.58 vs 0.86.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Fulham and AFC Wimbledon expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.44
Fulham and AFC Wimbledon attack and defence ratings
Fulham
AFC Wimbledon
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Fulham vs AFC Wimbledon: result vs prediction
Fulham 3 – 0 AFC Wimbledon
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Round of 64 fixtures
Before and after this match
Fulham vs AFC Wimbledon markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fulham | 73.9% | 1.35 | -28.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.1% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 90.4% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.9% | 2.13 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fulham | 73.9% |
| Draw | 16.5% | |
| AFC Wimbledon | 9.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 56.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.0% |
| No | 53.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 90.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 83.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 26.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Fulham win | 28.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.3% | |
| Loss | 46.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.1% |
| 1-0 | 12.6% | |
| 2-0 | 10.8% |
Fulham vs AFC Wimbledon stats
Fulham and AFC Wimbledon recent form
| Fulham |
LWDLLW |
| AFC Wimbledon |
DLDLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Fulham vs AFC Wimbledon head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Fulham vs AFC Wimbledon odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 80.9%, draw 12.8%, away 6.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.16 | 6.80 | 16.00 |
| 1xBet | 1.18 | 7.60 | 17.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.17 | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.14 | 8.00 | 17.00 |
| Betano | 1.19 | 7.60 | 18.00 |
| Betfair | 1.15 | 7.00 | 15.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.18 | 8.00 | 15.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.18 | 7.40 | 16.75 |
| Pinnacle | 1.17 | 7.80 | 14.96 |
| SBO | 1.15 | 6.95 | 12.04 |
| Superbet | 1.17 | 7.30 | 12.00 |
| Unibet | 1.14 | 7.50 | 16.00 |
| William Hill | 1.18 | 6.00 | 13.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .