Hull City
vs
Manchester United
2 – 0 Full time
Hull City vs Manchester United overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Hull City vs Manchester United
| Probability | Hull City | Draw | Manchester United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.1% | 29.7% | 31.2% |
| Market | 10.2% | 18.2% | 71.6% |
| Final | 17.4% | 21.1% | 61.5% |
| Edge | +28.8% | +11.5% | -40.3% |
Why Manchester United
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Hull City and Manchester United expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.58
Hull City and Manchester United attack and defence ratings
Hull City
Manchester United
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Hull City vs Manchester United: result vs prediction
Hull City 2 – 0 Manchester United
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Hull City vs Manchester United markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Manchester United | 61.5% | 1.63 | -40.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 82.6% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 68.8% | 1.45 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hull City | 17.4% |
| Draw | 21.1% | |
| Manchester United | 61.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 50.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.5% |
| No | 44.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 38.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 82.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Manchester United win | 14.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.2% | |
| Loss | 68.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.2% |
| 0-0 | 9.0% | |
| 2-1 | 8.7% |
Hull City vs Manchester United stats
Hull City and Manchester United recent form
| Hull City |
WWDWLD |
| Manchester United |
WWDWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Hull City vs Manchester United head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Hull City vs Manchester United odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 10.1%, draw 18.2%, away 71.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 8.00 | 4.75 | 1.36 |
| 1xBet | 9.75 | 5.59 | 1.36 |
| 888Sport | 8.50 | 4.80 | 1.33 |
| Bet365 | 10.00 | 5.00 | 1.33 |
| BetVictor | 9.50 | 5.50 | 1.30 |
| Betano | 10.00 | 5.20 | 1.36 |
| Betfair | 9.50 | 5.00 | 1.33 |
| Dafabet | 9.00 | 5.60 | 1.33 |
| Marathonbet | 9.60 | 5.50 | 1.34 |
| Pinnacle | 9.20 | 5.28 | 1.35 |
| SBO | 7.05 | 4.43 | 1.33 |
| Superbet | 8.50 | 5.55 | 1.34 |
| Unibet | 9.50 | 5.30 | 1.33 |
| William Hill | 8.50 | 5.00 | 1.35 |
| pinnacle | 9.47 | 5.30 | 1.35 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .