Brentford
vs
Tottenham
3 – 0 Full time
Brentford vs Tottenham overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Brentford vs Tottenham
| Probability | Brentford | Draw | Tottenham |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.0% | 24.5% | 31.5% |
| Market | 45.1% | 25.9% | 29.0% |
| Final | 44.8% | 25.5% | 29.6% |
| Edge | -1.2% | -1.4% | +2.5% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Brentford and Tottenham expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.47
Brentford and Tottenham attack and defence ratings
Brentford
Tottenham
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Brentford vs Tottenham: result vs prediction
Brentford 3 – 0 Tottenham
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Brentford vs Tottenham markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Brentford | 44.8% | 2.23 | -1.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.1% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.1% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.2% | 1.78 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Brentford | 44.8% |
| Draw | 25.5% | |
| Tottenham | 29.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 30.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.1% |
| No | 29.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Brentford win | 25.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.7% | |
| Loss | 56.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.3% |
| 2-1 | 8.6% | |
| 1-2 | 7.3% |
Brentford vs Tottenham stats
Brentford vs Tottenham head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-01 | Brentford | Tottenham | Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2025-12-06 | Tottenham | Brentford | Premier League | 2-0 |
| 2025-02-02 | Brentford | Tottenham | Premier League | 0-2 |
| 2024-09-21 | Tottenham | Brentford | Premier League | 3-1 |
| 2024-01-31 | Tottenham | Brentford | Premier League | 3-2 |
| 2023-08-13 | Brentford | Tottenham | Premier League | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Brentford vs Tottenham odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.9%, draw 25.7%, away 29.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.40 | 3.40 | 2.10 |
| 1xBet | 2.15 | 3.84 | 3.44 |
| 888Sport | 2.05 | 3.50 | 3.25 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.80 | 3.25 |
| BetVictor | 2.10 | 3.70 | 3.25 |
| Betano | 2.12 | 3.65 | 3.30 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.70 | 3.40 |
| Dafabet | 2.46 | 3.65 | 2.80 |
| Marathonbet | 2.12 | 3.78 | 3.38 |
| Pinnacle | 2.13 | 3.79 | 3.38 |
| SBO | 2.09 | 3.52 | 3.15 |
| Superbet | 2.12 | 3.70 | 3.30 |
| Unibet | 2.14 | 3.65 | 3.25 |
| William Hill | 2.05 | 3.60 | 3.30 |
| pinnacle | 2.37 | 3.83 | 2.85 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
7 snapshots recorded, from .