Premier League
·
Full time
·Matchday 1
Arsenal
vs
Coventry
3 – 0 Full time
Arsenal
76%
Draw
15%
Coventry
8%
Arsenal vs Coventry overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Arsenal vs Coventry
| Probability | Arsenal | Draw | Coventry |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 66.4% | 20.6% | 13.0% |
| Market | 79.4% | 13.6% | 7.0% |
| Final | 76.1% | 15.4% | 8.5% |
| Edge | -13.0% | +7.0% | +6.0% |
Why Arsenal
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
85%
2+ goals
62%
3+ goals
33%
No goals
15%
Arsenal and Coventry expected goals
Arsenal
0.84
Coventry
1.15
Total expected goals: 1.99
Arsenal and Coventry attack and defence ratings
Arsenal
Attack
0.91 -9%
Defence
0.60 -40%
Coventry
Attack
1.57 +57%
Defence
0.61 -39%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Arsenal vs Coventry: result vs prediction
Arsenal 3 – 0 Coventry
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 1 fixtures
- Hull City v Manchester United — match page
- Everton vs Crystal Palace — team news & stats
- Ipswich vs Sunderland
- Nottingham Forest v Leeds — match page
- Brentford vs Tottenham — team news & stats
- Manchester City vs Bournemouth
- Brighton v Aston Villa — match page
- Newcastle United vs Liverpool — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Arsenal vs Coventry markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Arsenal | 76.1% | 1.31 | -13.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.1% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 91.5% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Arsenal | 76.1% |
| Draw | 15.4% | |
| Coventry | 8.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 35.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.4% |
| No | 42.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 91.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 84.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 23.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Arsenal win | 9.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.6% | |
| Loss | 73.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 10.0% |
| 2-1 | 9.7% | |
| 1-1 | 9.6% |
Arsenal vs Coventry stats
Arsenal vs Coventry head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Arsenal vs Coventry odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 79.4%, draw 13.6%, away 7.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.16 | 6.80 | 16.00 |
| 1xBet | 1.24 | 7.31 | 13.70 |
| 888Sport | 1.20 | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.20 | 7.00 | 12.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.18 | 7.00 | 15.00 |
| Betano | 1.24 | 6.40 | 16.00 |
| Betfair | 1.18 | 7.00 | 15.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.22 | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.22 | 7.20 | 13.50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.21 | 7.25 | 15.00 |
| SBO | 1.15 | 6.09 | 11.56 |
| Superbet | 1.22 | 6.80 | 13.00 |
| Unibet | 1.17 | 7.00 | 17.00 |
| William Hill | 1.20 | 6.50 | 13.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.20 ▲ +0.02
X
7.00 ▼ -0.45
2
13.60 ▼ -2.40
3 snapshots recorded, from .