Everton
vs
Crystal Palace
2 – 0 Full time
Everton vs Crystal Palace overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Everton vs Crystal Palace
| Probability | Everton | Draw | Crystal Palace |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.8% | 22.5% | 26.7% |
| Market | 42.9% | 28.1% | 29.0% |
| Final | 44.9% | 26.7% | 28.4% |
| Edge | +7.8% | -5.6% | -2.2% |
Why Everton
- The market prices Everton below the model: +7.8 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Everton and Crystal Palace expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.30
Everton and Crystal Palace attack and defence ratings
Everton
Crystal Palace
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Everton vs Crystal Palace: result vs prediction
Everton 2 – 0 Crystal Palace
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Everton vs Crystal Palace markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Everton | 44.9% | 2.23 | +7.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.3% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Everton | 44.9% |
| Draw | 26.7% | |
| Crystal Palace | 28.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 25.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 72.9% |
| No | 27.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Everton win | 22.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.3% | |
| Loss | 59.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 8.8% |
| 2-1 | 8.6% | |
| 2-2 | 6.9% |
Everton vs Crystal Palace stats
Everton and Crystal Palace recent form
| Everton |
LLDDLL |
| Crystal Palace |
WLDLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Everton vs Crystal Palace head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Crystal Palace | Everton | Premier League | 2-2 |
| 2025-10-05 | Everton | Crystal Palace | Premier League | 2-1 |
| 2025-02-15 | Crystal Palace | Everton | Premier League | 1-2 |
| 2024-09-28 | Everton | Crystal Palace | Premier League | 2-1 |
| 2024-02-19 | Everton | Crystal Palace | Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2023-11-11 | Crystal Palace | Everton | Premier League | 2-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Everton vs Crystal Palace odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.7%, draw 28.2%, away 29.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.14 | 3.35 | 3.30 |
| 1xBet | 2.32 | 3.48 | 3.38 |
| 888Sport | 2.20 | 3.25 | 3.20 |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 3.40 | 3.25 |
| BetVictor | 2.20 | 3.40 | 3.25 |
| Betano | 2.20 | 3.40 | 3.35 |
| Betfair | 2.25 | 3.40 | 3.30 |
| Dafabet | 2.26 | 3.45 | 3.25 |
| Marathonbet | 2.28 | 3.42 | 3.32 |
| Pinnacle | 2.28 | 3.42 | 3.30 |
| SBO | 2.16 | 3.02 | 2.96 |
| Superbet | 2.25 | 3.40 | 3.30 |
| Unibet | 2.25 | 3.30 | 3.35 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.20 |
| pinnacle | 2.26 | 3.45 | 3.31 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .