Tottenham
vs
Charlton
5 – 1 Full time
Tottenham vs Charlton overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Tottenham vs Charlton
| Probability | Tottenham | Draw | Charlton |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 23.7% | 24.6% | 51.7% |
| Market | 77.1% | 14.6% | 8.3% |
| Final | 63.8% | 17.1% | 19.1% |
| Edge | -53.5% | +10.0% | +43.5% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Tottenham and Charlton expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.09
Tottenham and Charlton attack and defence ratings
Tottenham
Charlton
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Tottenham vs Charlton: result vs prediction
Tottenham 5 – 1 Charlton
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Round of 64 fixtures
Before and after this match
Tottenham vs Charlton markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tottenham | 63.8% | 1.57 | -53.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.7% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 82.9% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 76.3% | 1.31 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tottenham | 63.8% |
| Draw | 17.1% | |
| Charlton | 19.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.6% |
| No | 39.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 82.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 36.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Tottenham win | 9.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 13.7% | |
| Loss | 76.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.4% |
| 1-2 | 9.7% | |
| 0-2 | 8.0% |
Tottenham vs Charlton stats
Tottenham vs Charlton head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Tottenham vs Charlton odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 77.1%, draw 14.6%, away 8.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.24 | 6.40 | 9.70 |
| 1xBet | 1.24 | 6.75 | 12.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.22 | 6.50 | 11.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.22 | 6.50 | 12.00 |
| Betano | 1.27 | 6.70 | 11.50 |
| Betfair | 1.20 | 6.50 | 12.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.25 | 6.80 | 11.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.23 | 6.75 | 13.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.23 | 6.52 | 11.87 |
| SBO | 1.21 | 5.90 | 9.26 |
| Superbet | 1.23 | 6.30 | 9.50 |
| Unibet | 1.21 | 6.50 | 11.50 |
| William Hill | 1.22 | 6.00 | 11.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .