England Championship
·
Full time
·Matchday 2
West Ham
vs
Charlton
1 – 2 Full time
West Ham
62%
Draw
21%
Charlton
17%
West Ham vs Charlton overview
Garuda Lions analysis: West Ham vs Charlton
| Probability | West Ham | Draw | Charlton |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43.4% | 25.0% | 31.6% |
| Market | 68.0% | 19.6% | 12.5% |
| Final | 61.8% | 20.9% | 17.2% |
| Edge | -24.5% | +5.4% | +19.1% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
95%
2+ goals
85%
3+ goals
63%
No goals
5%
West Ham and Charlton expected goals
West Ham
1.77
Charlton
1.49
Total expected goals: 3.26
West Ham and Charlton attack and defence ratings
West Ham
Attack
1.25 +25%
Defence
1.19 +19%
Charlton
Attack
1.04 +4%
Defence
1.02 +2%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
West Ham vs Charlton: result vs prediction
West Ham 1 – 2 Charlton
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
West Ham vs Charlton markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | West Ham | 61.8% | 1.62 | -24.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.3% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.3% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.8% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | West Ham | 61.8% |
| Draw | 20.9% | |
| Charlton | 17.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 36.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.3% |
| No | 34.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 38.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | West Ham win | 23.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.7% | |
| Loss | 56.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.1% |
| 2-1 | 9.0% | |
| 1-2 | 7.5% |
West Ham vs Charlton stats
West Ham and Charlton recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
West Ham and Charlton going into this match
West Ham record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Charlton record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
West Ham vs Charlton head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
West Ham vs Charlton odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 68.0%, draw 19.6%, away 12.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.34 | 4.80 | 8.70 |
| 1xBet | 1.38 | 4.80 | 7.47 |
| 888Sport | 1.36 | 4.60 | 8.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.38 | 4.50 | 7.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.36 | 4.75 | 8.00 |
| Betano | 1.44 | 4.65 | 7.10 |
| Betfair | 1.36 | 4.75 | 8.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.41 | 5.00 | 7.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.37 | 4.80 | 7.50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.40 | 5.12 | 7.60 |
| SBO | 1.31 | 4.48 | 7.43 |
| Superbet | 1.41 | 4.80 | 7.30 |
| Unibet | 1.37 | 4.80 | 7.50 |
| William Hill | 1.40 | 4.60 | 7.00 |