League Two · Full time ·Matchday 5

Tranmere vs Oldham

2 – 0 Full time

8′Ollie Norburn
11′Jamie Robson
17′D. Jones
43′Jacob Slater
46′E. NevittM. Fondop
46′T. HillC. Kavanagh
56′Z. OkoroJ. Ironside
61′T. ConlonS. Finley
68′C. WhitakerL. O'Connor
68′D. JonesD. Kamara
79′Luke McGee
82′J. Ironside
90′Tom Ince

Prenton Park, Wirral

Tranmere 31%
Draw 28%
Oldham 41%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

9 Shots 22
4 Shots on target 6
48 Possession % 52
2 Corners 10
11 Fouls 16
3 Offsides 3
5 Saves 2
248 Accurate passes 271

Tranmere vs Oldham overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Tranmere vs Oldham

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityTranmereDrawOldham
Model31.0%27.2%41.8%
Market30.6%28.9%40.6%
Final30.7%28.4%40.9%
Edge+0.4%-1.6%+1.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Oldham

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Tranmere ↓ / Oldham → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 8% 7% 1 6% 13% 9% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 79%
3+ goals 54%
No goals 7%

Tranmere and Oldham expected goals

Tranmere 1.30
Oldham 1.54

Total expected goals: 2.84

Tranmere and Oldham attack and defence ratings

Tranmere

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.10 +10%

Oldham

Attack 1.18 +18%
Defence 0.94 -6%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Tranmere vs Oldham: result vs prediction

Tranmere 2 – 0 Oldham

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

League Two

Before and after this match

Tranmere vs Oldham markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Oldham 40.9% 2.45 +1.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 54.0% 1.85 — —
Both teams to score Yes 58.3% 1.72 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.6% 1.40 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 58.3% 1.71 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Tranmere30.7%
Draw28.4%
Oldham40.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.554.0%
Under 2.546.0%
Both teams to scoreYes58.3%
No41.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)59.1%
12 (either side)71.6%
X2 (draw or away)69.3%
Handicap -1Oldham win21.3%
Push (exactly one goal)20.4%
Loss58.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.9%
1-29.0%
0-17.8%

Tranmere vs Oldham stats

Tranmere and Oldham recent form

newest first
Tranmere DDDWDD
Oldham DWLWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Tranmere and Oldham going into this match

league record before kick-off

Tranmere record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • 64% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Oldham record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.

Tranmere vs Oldham head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Tranmere wins 2Draws 4Oldham wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-07TranmereOldhamLeague Two1-3
2025-12-20OldhamTranmereLeague Two3-1
2024-11-02TranmereOldhamEngland FA Cup1-2
2022-04-30TranmereOldhamLeague Two2-0
2021-12-07OldhamTranmereLeague Two0-1
2021-11-09TranmereOldhamEFL Trophy3-2
2021-08-10OldhamTranmereLeague Cup2-2
2021-02-20TranmereOldhamLeague Two2-2
2020-12-01OldhamTranmereLeague Two0-1
2019-04-02OldhamTranmereLeague Two2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Tranmere vs Oldham odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 30.6%, draw 28.7%, away 40.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 3.10 3.25 2.28
1xBet 3.06 3.22 2.29
Bet365 3.00 3.25 2.30
BetVictor 3.10 3.30 2.30
Betano 3.10 3.25 2.30
Betfair 2.80 3.40 2.40
Dafabet 3.10 3.40 2.32
Marathonbet 3.05 3.22 2.27
Pinnacle 3.14 3.34 2.32
SBO 2.74 2.96 2.14
Superbet 3.05 3.30 2.30
Unibet 2.75 3.25 2.32
William Hill 3.00 3.10 2.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.05 ▲ +0.05
X 3.24 ▼ -0.01
2 2.30 ▲ +0.10

7 snapshots recorded, from .