Tranmere
vs
Rotherham
2 – 2 Full time
| 16′ | Z. Okoro | ||
| 34′ | Ewan Otoo | ||
| 62′ | Z. OkoroJ. Davies | ||
| 62′ | D. JonesC. Whitaker | ||
| 63′ | S. FinleyT. Conlon | ||
| 67′ | P. MullinT. Bradshaw | ||
| 68′ | K. SpenceJ. Fitzgerald | ||
| 68′ | J. RaffertyA. Nemane | ||
| 69′ | Sonny Aljofree | ||
| 74′ | Bobby Faulkner | ||
| 81′ | J. TurnbullN. Smith | ||
| 81′ | J. IronsideC. Baker-Richardson | ||
| 82′ | F. TavaresA. Martha | ||
| 84′ | A. Nemane | ||
| 87′ | T. Ince | ||
| 90′ | Luke McGee | ||
| 90′ | Jordan Davies | ||
| 90′ | Bobby Faulkner | ||
| 90′ | J. BuyabuK. Ngwenya | ||
| 90′ | T. Bradshaw |
Match stats
| 12 | Shots | 14 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 44 | Possession % | 56 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 9 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Offsides | 1 |
| 1 | Saves | 3 |
| 253 | Accurate passes | 347 |
Tranmere vs Rotherham overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Tranmere vs Rotherham
| Probability | Tranmere | Draw | Rotherham |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52.6% | 25.4% | 22.0% |
| Market | 41.5% | 28.3% | 30.1% |
| Final | 44.3% | 27.6% | 28.1% |
| Edge | +11.1% | -2.9% | -8.2% |
Why Tranmere
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.79 vs 1.09.
- The market prices Tranmere below the model: +11.1 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Tranmere and Rotherham expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.88
Tranmere and Rotherham attack and defence ratings
Tranmere
Rotherham
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Tranmere vs Rotherham: result vs prediction
Tranmere 2 – 2 Rotherham
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Tranmere vs Rotherham markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tranmere | 44.3% | 2.26 | +11.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.5% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.4% | 2.11 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tranmere | 44.3% |
| Draw | 27.6% | |
| Rotherham | 28.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 45.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.5% |
| No | 43.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Tranmere win | 30.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.5% | |
| Loss | 47.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.0% |
| 2-1 | 9.8% | |
| 2-0 | 9.0% |
Tranmere vs Rotherham stats
Tranmere and Rotherham recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Tranmere and Rotherham going into this match
Tranmere record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- 64% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Rotherham record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Tranmere vs Rotherham head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-10 | Rotherham | Tranmere | EFL Trophy | 3-2 |
| 2019-08-31 | Rotherham | Tranmere | League One | 1-1 |
| 2014-01-28 | Tranmere | Rotherham | League One | 1-2 |
| 2013-10-22 | Rotherham | Tranmere | League One | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Tranmere vs Rotherham odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.5%, draw 28.3%, away 30.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.24 | 3.35 | 3.10 |
| 1xBet | 2.22 | 3.35 | 3.08 |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.20 | 3.10 |
| BetVictor | 2.25 | 3.30 | 3.13 |
| Betano | 2.25 | 3.30 | 3.10 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| Dafabet | 2.30 | 3.35 | 3.20 |
| Marathonbet | 2.20 | 3.35 | 3.06 |
| Pinnacle | 2.24 | 3.55 | 3.12 |
| SBO | 2.20 | 3.01 | 2.93 |
| Superbet | 2.27 | 3.25 | 3.10 |
| Unibet | 2.25 | 3.25 | 2.85 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
5 snapshots recorded, from .