Rochdale
vs
Shrewsbury
3 – 0 Full time
| 22′ | Ethan Ebanks-LandellZain Silcott-Duberry | ||
| 27′ | Tom Anderson | ||
| 33′ | Babajide Ezekiel Adeeko | ||
| 43′ | Luke Hannant | ||
| 45′ | Josh RuffelsJoseph Gbode | ||
| 45′ | J. Turner-CookArkelle Jude-Boyd | ||
| 50′ | William Boyle | ||
| 65′ | Isaac FletcherKian McMahon-Brown | ||
| 69′ | Joseph Gbode | ||
| 74′ | Olutobi Adebayo-Rowling | ||
| 75′ | Tom AndersonGeorge Lloyd | ||
| 76′ | Tom SangMichael Golding | ||
| 77′ | Luke HannantJonny Smith | ||
| 80′ | Jonny Smith | ||
| 83′ | will gray | ||
| 87′ | Babajide Ezekiel AdeekoHarvey Gilmour | ||
| 87′ | Dajaune BrownIan Henderson |
Match stats
| 7 | Shots | 16 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 65 | Possession % | 35 |
| 1 | Corners | 3 |
| 9 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Offsides | 3 |
| 4 | Saves | 0 |
| 458 | Accurate passes | 199 |
Rochdale vs Shrewsbury overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Rochdale vs Shrewsbury
| Probability | Rochdale | Draw | Shrewsbury |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48.0% | 28.5% | 23.4% |
| Market | 42.4% | 27.5% | 30.1% |
| Final | 43.8% | 27.7% | 28.4% |
| Edge | +5.6% | +1.1% | -6.7% |
Why Rochdale
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.49 vs 0.98.
- The market prices Rochdale below the model: +5.6 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Rochdale and Shrewsbury expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.47
Rochdale and Shrewsbury attack and defence ratings
Rochdale
Shrewsbury
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Rochdale vs Shrewsbury: result vs prediction
Rochdale 3 – 0 Shrewsbury
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Rochdale vs Shrewsbury markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rochdale | 43.8% | 2.28 | +5.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.1% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.4% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rochdale | 43.8% |
| Draw | 27.7% | |
| Shrewsbury | 28.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 55.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.6% |
| No | 50.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Rochdale win | 24.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.2% | |
| Loss | 52.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.6% |
| 1-0 | 11.4% | |
| 0-0 | 9.7% |
Rochdale vs Shrewsbury stats
Rochdale and Shrewsbury recent form
| Rochdale |
LLLLDL |
| Shrewsbury |
WLLLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Rochdale and Shrewsbury going into this match
Rochdale record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
Shrewsbury record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Rochdale vs Shrewsbury head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-08-24 | Shrewsbury | Rochdale | League Cup | 0-2 |
| 2021-03-09 | Rochdale | Shrewsbury | League One | 0-2 |
| 2020-10-24 | Shrewsbury | Rochdale | League One | 1-2 |
| 2020-02-01 | Rochdale | Shrewsbury | League One | 1-0 |
| 2019-08-17 | Shrewsbury | Rochdale | League One | 0-0 |
| 2019-03-09 | Rochdale | Shrewsbury | League One | 2-1 |
| 2018-11-17 | Shrewsbury | Rochdale | League One | 3-2 |
| 2018-03-30 | Rochdale | Shrewsbury | League One | 3-1 |
| 2017-08-19 | Shrewsbury | Rochdale | League One | 3-2 |
| 2017-04-08 | Shrewsbury | Rochdale | League One | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Rochdale vs Shrewsbury odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.4%, draw 27.5%, away 30.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.18 | 3.45 | 3.10 |
| 1xBet | 2.20 | 3.40 | 3.08 |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.30 | 3.00 |
| BetVictor | 2.25 | 3.40 | 3.10 |
| Betano | 2.22 | 3.45 | 3.05 |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 3.50 | 3.20 |
| Dafabet | 2.23 | 3.45 | 3.20 |
| Marathonbet | 2.18 | 3.40 | 3.06 |
| Pinnacle | 2.23 | 3.60 | 3.11 |
| SBO | 2.16 | 3.11 | 2.88 |
| Superbet | 2.20 | 3.35 | 3.15 |
| Unibet | 2.02 | 3.30 | 3.25 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
5 snapshots recorded, from .