League Two
·
Full time
·Matchday 5
Fleetwood Town
vs
Shrewsbury
2 – 0 Full time
| 25′ | Luca Hoole | ||
| 32′ | Sam·Stubbs | ||
| 39′ | Ronan Coughlan | ||
| 48′ | Kevin Berkoe | ||
| 55′ | Lewis McCann | ||
| 57′ | Will daviesChed Evans | ||
| 57′ | Danny AndrewR. Cirino | ||
| 63′ | Harrison Neal | ||
| 66′ | Josh Davison | ||
| 67′ | Adam MurphyCrispin McLean | ||
| 67′ | Ronan CoughlanAaron Loupalo-Bi | ||
| 67′ | Josh DavisonJoseph Gbode | ||
| 73′ | will grayJ. Turner-Cook | ||
| 81′ | Mark HelmConor Haughey | ||
| 83′ | George LloydIsaac Fletcher | ||
| 83′ | Kevin BerkoeLino Sousa | ||
| 83′ | Tom SangMichael Golding | ||
| 86′ | Aaron Loupalo-Bi | ||
| 90′ | Ched Evans | ||
| 90′ | Joseph Gbode |
Fleetwood Town
54%
Draw
26%
Shrewsbury
20%
Match stats
| 10 | Shots | 10 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 46 | Possession % | 54 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Offsides | 5 |
| 1 | Saves | 1 |
| 298 | Accurate passes | 275 |
Fleetwood Town vs Shrewsbury overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Fleetwood Town vs Shrewsbury
| Probability | Fleetwood Town | Draw | Shrewsbury |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 69.2% | 22.0% | 8.8% |
| Market | 49.5% | 27.0% | 23.5% |
| Final | 54.4% | 25.7% | 19.8% |
| Edge | +19.7% | -4.9% | -14.7% |
Why Fleetwood Town
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.90 vs 0.54.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Fleetwood Town below the model: +19.7 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
90%
2+ goals
71%
3+ goals
44%
No goals
10%
Fleetwood Town and Shrewsbury expected goals
Fleetwood Town
1.90
Shrewsbury
0.54
Total expected goals: 2.44
Fleetwood Town and Shrewsbury attack and defence ratings
Fleetwood Town
Attack
1.07 +7%
Defence
0.81 -19%
Shrewsbury
Attack
0.56 -44%
Defence
1.28 +28%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Fleetwood Town vs Shrewsbury: result vs prediction
Fleetwood Town 2 – 0 Shrewsbury
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Fleetwood Town vs Shrewsbury markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fleetwood Town | 54.4% | 1.84 | +19.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 63.6% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.2% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Fleetwood Town win | 43.4% | 2.30 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fleetwood Town | 54.4% |
| Draw | 25.7% | |
| Shrewsbury | 19.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 55.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 36.4% |
| No | 63.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 45.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Fleetwood Town win | 43.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.7% | |
| Loss | 30.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 15.7% |
| 1-0 | 15.6% | |
| 3-0 | 10.0% |
Fleetwood Town vs Shrewsbury stats
Fleetwood Town and Shrewsbury recent form
| Fleetwood Town |
DDWDWW |
| Shrewsbury |
LWLLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Fleetwood Town and Shrewsbury going into this match
Fleetwood Town record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
Shrewsbury record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Fleetwood Town vs Shrewsbury head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
4Fleetwood Town wins
2Draws
4Shrewsbury wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Fleetwood Town | Shrewsbury | League Cup | 4-0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Shrewsbury | Fleetwood Town | League Two | 2-2 |
| 2025-11-22 | Fleetwood Town | Shrewsbury | League Two | 3-1 |
| 2024-01-01 | Shrewsbury | Fleetwood Town | League One | 3-1 |
| 2023-08-26 | Fleetwood Town | Shrewsbury | League One | 0-1 |
| 2023-01-01 | Shrewsbury | Fleetwood Town | League One | 0-3 |
| 2022-10-15 | Fleetwood Town | Shrewsbury | League One | 0-1 |
| 2022-02-05 | Shrewsbury | Fleetwood Town | League One | 1-1 |
| 2021-12-26 | Fleetwood Town | Shrewsbury | League One | 0-3 |
| 2021-03-06 | Shrewsbury | Fleetwood Town | League One | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Fleetwood Town vs Shrewsbury odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 49.3%, draw 27.2%, away 23.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.90 | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| 1xBet | 1.87 | 3.48 | 3.98 |
| Bet365 | 1.90 | 3.30 | 4.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.90 | 3.50 | 4.00 |
| Betano | 1.95 | 3.35 | 3.90 |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 3.50 | 4.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.97 | 3.45 | 3.95 |
| Marathonbet | 1.85 | 3.48 | 3.98 |
| Pinnacle | 1.89 | 3.61 | 4.07 |
| SBO | 1.88 | 2.97 | 3.33 |
| Superbet | 1.97 | 3.35 | 3.80 |
| Unibet | 1.86 | 3.50 | 4.00 |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 3.30 | 3.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.90 ▼ -0.01
X
3.48 ▲ +0.11
2
3.99 ▲ +0.09
11 snapshots recorded, from .