Shrewsbury
vs
Northampton
2 – 0 Full time
| 8′ | Kian McMahon-Brown | ||
| 45′ | Kevin Berkoe | ||
| 45′ | Logan briggsOwen Dale | ||
| 57′ | Kian McMahon-Brown | ||
| 68′ | Sam HoskinsSam Chambers | ||
| 68′ | Nathaniel OpokuM. Warhurst | ||
| 69′ | Harvey SaundersKamarai Simon-Swyer | ||
| 74′ | J. Turner-Cookwill gray | ||
| 81′ | Sam Chambers | ||
| 85′ | Kevin BerkoeLino Sousa | ||
| 88′ | Josh DavisonMichael Golding | ||
| 89′ | Kian McMahon-BrownIsaac Fletcher |
Match stats
| 11 | Shots | 7 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 41 | Possession % | 59 |
| 1 | Corners | 5 |
| 16 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Offsides | 0 |
| 5 | Saves | 2 |
| 171 | Accurate passes | 306 |
Shrewsbury vs Northampton overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Shrewsbury vs Northampton
| Probability | Shrewsbury | Draw | Northampton |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26.8% | 34.6% | 38.6% |
| Market | 35.7% | 29.9% | 34.4% |
| Final | 33.5% | 31.1% | 35.4% |
| Edge | -8.9% | +4.7% | +4.2% |
Why Northampton
- The market prices Northampton below the model: +4.2 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Shrewsbury and Northampton expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.86
Shrewsbury and Northampton attack and defence ratings
Shrewsbury
Northampton
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Shrewsbury vs Northampton: result vs prediction
Shrewsbury 2 – 0 Northampton
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Shrewsbury vs Northampton markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Northampton | 35.4% | 2.82 | +4.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 71.5% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 62.5% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 68.9% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.4% | 1.63 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shrewsbury | 33.5% |
| Draw | 31.1% | |
| Northampton | 35.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 28.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 71.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 37.5% |
| No | 62.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 64.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 66.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Northampton win | 15.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.8% | |
| Loss | 61.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 16.9% |
| 0-1 | 14.9% | |
| 1-1 | 14.6% |
Shrewsbury vs Northampton stats
Shrewsbury and Northampton recent form
| Shrewsbury |
LLWLLL |
| Northampton |
WDDLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Shrewsbury and Northampton going into this match
Shrewsbury record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Northampton record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
Shrewsbury vs Northampton head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-11 | Northampton | Shrewsbury | EFL Trophy | 2-1 |
| 2025-04-21 | Northampton | Shrewsbury | League One | 4-1 |
| 2024-12-29 | Shrewsbury | Northampton | League One | 1-1 |
| 2024-01-27 | Northampton | Shrewsbury | League One | 0-2 |
| 2023-10-07 | Shrewsbury | Northampton | League One | 1-0 |
| 2021-04-02 | Northampton | Shrewsbury | League One | 1-0 |
| 2020-09-19 | Shrewsbury | Northampton | League One | 1-2 |
| 2018-03-20 | Northampton | Shrewsbury | League One | 1-1 |
| 2017-08-05 | Shrewsbury | Northampton | League One | 1-0 |
| 2017-04-17 | Northampton | Shrewsbury | League One | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Shrewsbury vs Northampton odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 35.7%, draw 29.9%, away 34.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.59 | 3.10 | 2.70 |
| Bet365 | 2.60 | 3.10 | 2.70 |
| BetVictor | 2.63 | 3.13 | 2.75 |
| Betano | 2.62 | 3.10 | 2.75 |
| Betfair | 2.63 | 3.20 | 2.75 |
| Marathonbet | 2.59 | 3.10 | 2.70 |
| Pinnacle | 2.64 | 3.23 | 2.79 |
| SBO | 2.45 | 2.91 | 2.50 |
| William Hill | 2.50 | 3.00 | 2.62 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .