League Two · Full time ·Matchday 6

Walsall vs Rochdale

0 – 0 Full time

29′Charlie Crew
53′Babajide Ezekiel Adeeko
61′Charlie CrewIsaac Moore
61′Antony EvansCourtney Alphonso Clarke
65′Luke HannantGlenn Middleton
75′K. TaylorJonny Smith
77′Harvey Gilmour
82′Taione Richard Evumena SodjeAndrew Dallas
84′Daniel MossLaurence Maguire
84′Emmanuel DieseruvweOlutobi Adebayo-Rowling
89′Elicha AhuiLewis Simper
90′Glenn Middleton

Bescot Stadium, Walsall

Walsall 55%
Draw 25%
Rochdale 21%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

24 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 1
70 Possession % 30
7 Corners 4
9 Fouls 7
0 Offsides 1
1 Saves 6
588 Accurate passes 198

Walsall vs Rochdale overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Walsall vs Rochdale

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityWalsallDrawRochdale
Model54.1%24.5%21.5%
Market54.7%24.6%20.7%
Final54.6%24.6%20.9%
Edge-0.7%-0.1%+0.8%

Confidence: Low

Why Walsall

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.89 vs 1.13.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Walsall ↓ / Rochdale → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 1 8% 11% 6% 2 9% 10% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 81%
3+ goals 58%
No goals 6%

Walsall and Rochdale expected goals

Walsall 1.89
Rochdale 1.13

Total expected goals: 3.02

Walsall and Rochdale attack and defence ratings

Walsall

Attack 0.96 -4%
Defence 0.92 -8%

Rochdale

Attack 1.03 +3%
Defence 1.41 +41%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Walsall vs Rochdale: result vs prediction

Walsall 0 – 0 Rochdale

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

League Two

Before and after this match

Walsall vs Rochdale markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Walsall 54.6% 1.83 -0.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 58.1% 1.72 — —
Both teams to score Yes 58.5% 1.71 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 79.1% 1.26 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 46.0% 2.18 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Walsall54.6%
Draw24.6%
Rochdale20.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.558.1%
Under 2.541.9%
Both teams to scoreYes58.5%
No41.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)79.1%
12 (either side)75.4%
X2 (draw or away)45.4%
Handicap -1Walsall win31.8%
Push (exactly one goal)22.2%
Loss46.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.5%
2-19.8%
2-08.7%

Walsall vs Rochdale stats

Walsall and Rochdale recent form

newest first
Walsall DDWDDW
Rochdale LWLLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Walsall and Rochdale going into this match

league record before kick-off

Walsall record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Rochdale record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.

Walsall vs Rochdale head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Walsall wins 3Draws 5Rochdale wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2023-07-21WalsallRochdaleFriendlies Clubs1-1
2023-04-07RochdaleWalsallLeague Two4-2
2022-10-29WalsallRochdaleLeague Two1-0
2022-04-09RochdaleWalsallLeague Two1-0
2021-11-20WalsallRochdaleLeague Two0-0
2019-02-02WalsallRochdaleLeague One1-2
2018-08-25RochdaleWalsallLeague One1-2
2018-03-06WalsallRochdaleLeague One0-3
2017-12-23RochdaleWalsallLeague One1-1
2017-01-02WalsallRochdaleLeague One0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Walsall vs Rochdale odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 54.7%, draw 24.6%, away 20.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.71 3.78 4.47
Bet365 1.70 3.80 4.50
BetVictor 1.70 3.90 4.60
Betano 1.70 3.75 4.60
Betfair 1.67 3.80 4.75
Marathonbet 1.69 3.78 4.50
Pinnacle 1.70 3.90 4.86
SBO 1.66 3.43 3.90
William Hill 1.67 3.60 4.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.70 ▼ -0.34
X 3.78 ▲ +0.23
2 4.50 ▲ +1.22

13 snapshots recorded, from .