Rotherham
vs
Salford City
3 – 3 Full time
| 9′ | Ryan Graydon | ||
| 26′ | Denzel Hall | ||
| 31′ | Joe Powell | ||
| 33′ | brandon cover | ||
| 35′ | Paul Mullin | ||
| 44′ | Kallum Cesay | ||
| 55′ | Abraham Odoh | ||
| 55′ | Ossama Ashley | ||
| 59′ | Ryan GraydonKelly N'Mai | ||
| 59′ | Fabio TavaresGeorge Sebine | ||
| 64′ | Josh Austerfield | ||
| 66′ | Paul MullinTom Bradshaw | ||
| 66′ | Aaron NemaneJili Buyabu | ||
| 69′ | Abraham Odoh | ||
| 73′ | Jili Buyabu | ||
| 74′ | Macaulay Langstaff | ||
| 78′ | Joe PowellJorge Grant | ||
| 78′ | Brendan Sarpeng-WireduElliot Bonds | ||
| 79′ | Ossama AshleyJayce Fitzgerald | ||
| 79′ | Kieran NgwenyaEmmanuel Adegboyega | ||
| 88′ | Kallum CesayOliver Turton | ||
| 88′ | Luke MolyneuxDan Scarr |
Match stats
| 20 | Shots | 10 |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 51 | Possession % | 49 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 17 | Fouls | 12 |
| 0 | Offsides | 1 |
| 2 | Saves | 7 |
| 300 | Accurate passes | 266 |
Rotherham vs Salford City overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Rotherham vs Salford City
| Probability | Rotherham | Draw | Salford City |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30.0% | 31.2% | 38.9% |
| Market | 33.6% | 26.2% | 40.2% |
| Final | 32.7% | 27.5% | 39.8% |
| Edge | -3.7% | +5.0% | -1.3% |
Why Salford City
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Rotherham and Salford City expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.26
Rotherham and Salford City attack and defence ratings
Rotherham
Salford City
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Rotherham vs Salford City: result vs prediction
Rotherham 3 – 3 Salford City
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Rotherham vs Salford City markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Salford City | 39.8% | 2.51 | -1.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.5% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rotherham | 32.7% |
| Draw | 27.5% | |
| Salford City | 39.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.9% |
| No | 53.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 60.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 67.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Salford City win | 17.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.4% | |
| Loss | 61.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.6% |
| 0-0 | 11.8% | |
| 0-1 | 11.4% |
Rotherham vs Salford City stats
Rotherham and Salford City recent form
| Rotherham |
LDWDLL |
| Salford City |
WWLLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Rotherham and Salford City going into this match
Rotherham record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Salford City record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
Rotherham vs Salford City head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-02 | Salford City | Rotherham | EFL Trophy | 2-7 |
| 2025-08-12 | Salford City | Rotherham | League Cup | 0-0 |
| 2022-07-13 | Salford City | Rotherham | Friendlies Clubs | 1-1 |
| 2020-09-05 | Salford City | Rotherham | League Cup | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Rotherham vs Salford City odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 33.6%, draw 26.2%, away 40.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.77 | 3.54 | 2.33 |
| Bet365 | 2.80 | 3.50 | 2.30 |
| BetVictor | 2.80 | 3.50 | 2.38 |
| Betano | 2.75 | 3.55 | 2.35 |
| Betfair | 2.88 | 3.70 | 2.30 |
| Marathonbet | 2.75 | 3.54 | 2.31 |
| Pinnacle | 2.76 | 3.76 | 2.38 |
| SBO | 2.65 | 3.11 | 2.21 |
| William Hill | 2.75 | 3.40 | 2.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .